000 AGXX40 KNHC 061536 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1200 PM FRI OCT 06 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE SW ATLC N OF 21N ALONG 70W WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND LIFT TO THE NE WITH SUBTROPICAL LOW PRES DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE SAT N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 34N67W. THE PORTION OF THE TROUGH S OF BERMUDA WILL REMAIN QUASI- STATIONARY EVENTUALLY MERGING WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT THAT WILL SHIFT OFF THE SE GA COAST LATE TONIGHT. THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THIS FRONT WILL STALL JUST OFF FL E COAST AND OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WATERS GRADUALLY LOSING ALL IDENTITY EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODELS APPARENTLY NOT AS AGGRESSIVE WITH SECOND LOW PRES DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT SAT NIGHT E OF NE FL...BUT I WILL STILL FORECAST SHIFTING WINDS TO 20 KT ALONG THE BOUNDARY MAINLY N OF 28N INTO SUN NIGHT. EXPECT REMNANTS OF FRONT TO MEANDER OVER SW ATLC WATERS ALONG 26N THROUGH OUT PERIOD. WEAK RIDGE WILL PERSIST N OF FRONT THROUGH WED. WEAK TROUGH OVER SW GULF OF MEXICO WILL ALSO MERGE WITH WEAK COLD FRONT SAT NIGHT AND LOSE IDENTITY EARLY NEXT WEEK. CURRENT GRADIENT OVER SW GULF OF MEXICO WILL RELAX LATE SAT WITH WEAK RIDGING THROUGH MIDDLE NEXT WEEK. GRADIENT S CARIBBEAN WILL RELAX EARLY NEXT WEEK. TROPICAL WAVE ENHANCING CONVECTION W CARIBBEAN SHOULD MOVE W OF AREA AROUND SUNRISE SAT. THEREAFTER A SERIES OF TROPICAL WAVES S OF 15N WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AT ABOUT 12 KT WITH LITTLE EFFECT. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER NELSON