000
AGXX40 KNHC 041652
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 PM TUE OCT 03 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

UPPER LEVELS...
RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND A TROUGH IS OVER THE 
ATLANTIC AREA BETWEEN 65W AND 75W.  THIS PATTERN IS FORECAST TO 
REMAIN MORE OR LESS THE SAME THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE TROUGH WILL 
BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN WHEN A STRONG CUTOFF LOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP 
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY THEN BEGIN TO 
WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AND MOVE EAST MONDAY.

SURFACE...
NO FRONTS FORECAST IN THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THE 
CONTROLLING INFLUENCES ON THE SURFACE WIND FIELD IS THE STRENGTH 
OF THE RIDGE NORTH OF THE AREA AND THE BROAD TROUGH OVER THE 
CARIBBEAN. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY THEN WEAKEN SOME WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AND THEN 
CHANGE LITTLE FRIDAY THEN BUILD SOME SATURDAY AND SUNDAY BEHIND 
A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST EARLY 
SATURDAY AND EXTEND FROM NEAR 31N70W TO SOUTH FLORIDA LATE 
SATURDAY AND BY LATE SUNDAY THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN AND BECOME A 
BROAD TROUGH OVER THE ATLANTIC NEAR 75W.  THIS TROUGH WILL 
COUPLE WITH THE CARIBBEAN BROAD TROUGH WHICH IS EXPECTED TO 
SLOWLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE PERIOD.  THE PATTERN WILL CHANGE 
LITTLE MONDAY. 

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER LL