000
AGXX40 KNHC 151843
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
245 PM FRI SEP 15 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY IN THE 10 
TO 15 KNOT RANGE AS INDICATED BY BUOY AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS 
ALONG WITH A QUIKSCAT PASS FROM ABOUT 13Z THIS MORNING. WINDS 
ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 
36 HOURS AND SEAS UP TO ABOUT 5 FEET.

OVER THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN W OF ABOUT 70W EASTERLY WINDS IN THE 
20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE 
NOAA WAVEWATCH 3 MODEL APPEARS TO BE ABOUT A FOOT OR TWO ON THE 
LOW SIDE INITIALLY BUT THE SEAS BUILD TO ABOUT 9 FEET TOMORROW 
EVENING.

IN THE ATLANTIC A COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH ABOUT 31N74W TO THE 
FLORIDA E COAST NEAR WEST PALM BEACH. THIS MORNINGS QUIKSCAT 
PASS AT 11Z INDICATES NICELY THE WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE 
FRONT WITH WINDS UP TO 15 KNOTS EITHER SIDE OF IT. A PRE-FRONTAL 
TROUGH IS LOCATED ABOUT 360 NM E OF THE COLD FRONT AND IS MARKED 
BY A 2 DEGREE WIDE BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HURRICANE 
GORDON HAS SLOWED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NOW MOVING NE AT 
ONLY 6 KNOTS. THE GLOBAL VERSION OF THE NOAA WAVEWATCH 3 MODEL 
PREDICTS ONLY 11 FOOT SEAS WHEREAS THE GFDL VERSION MORE 
ACCURATELY DEPICTS THE HIGHEST SEAS OF ABOUT 26 FEET. SEAS ARE 
IN THE 5 TO 6 FOOT RANGE OVER MOST OF THE SW NORTH ATLANTIC ZONE 
THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT OVER AND SW OF THE BAHAMAS...WILL 
GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW TO ABOUT 3 TO 4 FEET. 

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE. 

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER CAB