000 AGXX40 KNHC 060725 CCA MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION... NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 AM WED SEP 06 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. SW N ATLC... SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 28N65W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA DRIFT N OVER THROUGH THU THEN FORCED E BY FRONTAL TROUGH OFF SE CONUS COAST. THROUGH INCREASE SW WINDS W OF 76W WED THEN DECREASE AS TROUGH LIFTS NE LATE THU. MODERATE TRADES S OF 23N DECREASE OVER NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS N. NE WINDS INCREASE FRI AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM OR POSSIBLY HURRICANE FLORENCE...STILL WELL E OF REGION...BUT EXPECTED TO MOVE NW CLOSER TO 65W SAT. CURRENT FORECAST HAS FLORENCE IMPACTING SW N ATLC BASIN AS FULL FLEDGE HURRICANE. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... STRENGTH OF ATLC RIDGE MAINTAINS STRONG TRADES ACROSS S HALF OF BASIN. WINDS DECREASE TONIGHT AS RIDGE DRIFTS N AWAY FROM REGION. TROPICAL WAVES AT 763W AND 78W MOVING W AT 15 KT REMAIN UNDER DRY AIR MASS WITH LITTLE SIGNIFICANT ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. FLORENCE CROSSES THROUGH NE CORNER OF TROPICAL N ATLC AS STRONG TROPICAL STORM THU AND FRI. GULF OF MEXICO... WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM W FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO SE TEXAS COAST INCREASING NE WINDS W OF 95W BUT DIE QUICKLY AS RIDGE REBUILDS OVER GULF AND LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS RETURN OVER ENTIRE AREA THROUGH REMAINDER OF FORECAST AND OUTLOOK PERIOD. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER WALLY BARNES