000
AGXX40 KNHC 241730
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 PM THU AUG 24 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

HIGH PRES RIDGE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO REMAINS ALONG 25N THROUGH 
SAT THEN TO 27N/28N SUN THROUGH TUE. WINDS ARE MOSTLY LIGHT 
ACROSS THE AREA...BUT HAVE PICKED UP A LITTLE OVER THE WESTERN 
GULF WHERE A COUPLE OF BUOYS INDICATE WINDS TO 15 KT. GFS AND 
THE NAM CONTINUE TO INCREASE THE SE WINDS TO 20 KT FRI NIGHT 
THROUGH SUN. THEN WINDS BECOME LIGHT ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE 
ENTIRE GULF MON AND TUE.

ATLC RIDGE FROM 28N TO S FLORIDA THROUGH FRI THEN LIFT N TO 
ALONG 29N SAT AND REFORM N OF THE AREA SUN AND THEN BACK TO 
30N/31N MON AND TUE. E WINDS OF 15 KT WILL BE CONFINED 
PRIMARILY TO S OF 24N E OF 75W THROUGH FRI NIGHT THEN SPREAD WWD
SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...THEN DECREASE ON TUE. THE NRN PORTION OF 
A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY JUST E OF THE CARIBBEAN WILL 
MOVE E AND BRUSH THE S PORTION OF THE AREA...N OF THE LARGE 
ISLANDS. AS THE WAVE MOVES WWD WINDS INCREASE TO 20 KT S OF 
AROUND 22N/23N.

A QUIKSCAT PASS FROM THIS MORNING INDICATE A LARGE AREA OF NE 
20-25 KT WINDS COVERING MOST OF THE E CARIBBEAN SEA AND SW 
CARIBBEAN N OF 12N E OF 80W. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE TO 
10-15 KT OVER THE WEEKEND INTO TUE...BUT THIS MAY HAVE TO BE 
ADJUSTED DEPENDING ON EVOLUTION OF THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE/LOW 
APPROACHING WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO 
BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE INCREASED 
THE WINDS AND SEAS...SO THINK CURRENT TRENDS LOOK REASONABLE.

.WARNINGS.

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER AGUIRRE