000
AGXX40 KNHC 231723
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 PM WED AUG 23 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK RIDGE REMAINS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WITH LIGHT 
WINDS AND LOW SEAS. BUOYS CONTINUE TO INDICATE WINDS 10 KT OR 
LESS AND SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. THE RIDGE WILL MOVE S TO AROUND 25N 
TONIGHT THEN START TO DRIFT BACK TO THE N DURING THE DAY FRI 
THEN TO AROUND 28N/29N SAT AND SUN THEN OVER THEN ALONG THE GULF 
COAST MON. SLY RETURN FLOW INCREASES W OF 95W THU THROUGH SAT IN 
RESPONSE TO LOW PRES W OF THE GULF...THEN DECREASES SUN.

ATLC RIDGE CONTINUES TO BE ALONG 28N. THE RIDGE WILL MOVE S TO 
26N THU AND EXTEND FROM 28N65W TO STRAITS OF FLORIDA THU NIGHT 
AND FRI THEN BACK N TO ALONG 29N SAT AND REFORM N OF THE AREA 
SUN. E WINDS OF 15 KT WILL BE CONFINED TO S OF 24N WITH WINDS 
MOSTLY 10 KT OR LESS N OF 24N.

A QUIKSCAT PASS FROM THIS MORNING INDICATES A LARGE ARE OF NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT IN THE CARIBBEAN S OF 17N E OF 80W. LATEST GFS 
MODEL RUNS KEEPS THESE WIND SPEEDS THROUGH SAT THEN DECREASE TO 
10-15 KT THROUGH MON. STRONG TROPICAL WAVE E OF THE AREA ALONG 
51W/52W IS MOVING W 15 KT. A LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE WAVE 
NEAR 11N52W...AND THE POTENTIAL NOW EXISTS FOR POSSIBLE CYCLONE 
FORMATION WITH THIS WAVE. THE WAVE AND LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE 
TROPICAL ATLC ZONE THU THEN WEAKENS SOME AS IT MOVES INTO E 
CARIBBEAN FRI AND SAT THEN INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUN THEN 
WEAKENS EVEN FURTHER AS IT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN.

.WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS