000 AGXX40 KNHC 201801 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM SUN AUG 20 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO...A FAIRLY WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN EXISTS OVER THE GULF. THE ATLC RIDGE IS ATTEMPTING TO REBUILD ALONG 28/29N... RESULTING IN LIGHT E TO SE WINDS OVER MOST OF THE WATERS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS IN THE EASTERN GULF...WHERE AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED...WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. THIS FEATURE SHOULD FIZZLE OUT OVERNIGHT. MODELS ARE DEPICTING A WEAK SFC WEAK TROUGH MIGRATING INTO THE SRN GULF TUE. THIS SHOULD CAUSE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS OVER SRN GULF WATERS TUE THROUGH WED. SW N ATLC...A LOW PREVIOUSLY OFF THE GA/FL COAST HAS MOVED INLAND AND DISSIPATED. THE RIDGE AXIS DOMINATES THE WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS WITH MODERATE SE TRADE WIND FLOW EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MON EVENING. ONSHORE FLOW S OF AN UPPER LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N78W GENERATED SOME MODERATE SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE BAHAMAS EARLIER TODAY BUT MOST OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS ARE DYING OUT THIS AFTERNOON. TRADE WINDS SHOULD PICK UP A LITTLE S OF 23N TUE/WED AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES INTO THE ERN CARIBBEAN. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...OBSERVATIONS SHOW UP TO 20 KT E WINDS IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TODAY. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE AND STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT AHEAD OF A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING INTO THE ERN CARIBBEAN TUE/WED. WINDS WILL INCREASE AS WELL OVER TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS NE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES BY MIDWEEK AS THE WAVE MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. .WARNINGS... ATLC...NONE. CARIBBEAN...NONE. GULF OF MEXICO...NONE. FORECASTER MUNDELL