000 AGXX40 KNHC 181733 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 115 AM FRI AUG 18 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. TROUGH CONTINUES TO DRIFT VERY SLOWLY W IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. THE TROUGH IS CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM THE MOUTH OF MISSISSIPPI TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 20N93W. THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DRIFT W INTO THE WESTERN GULF TONIGHT THEN ALONG THE TEXAS COAST SAT THE INLAND LATE SAT. HIGH PRES RIDGE BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF E OF THE TROUGH. MODELS BRING A TROPICAL THAT IS CURRENTLY IN THE ATLC INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WED. THE GFS DEVELOPS A LOW WHILE THE NOGAPS KEEPS IT AN OPEN WAVE. A WEAK LOW...1013 MB..HAS DRIFTED S INTO THE AREA NEAR 30N80W. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SW AND DISSIPATE INLAND TONIGHT. OTHERWISE RIDGE ALONG 28N THROUGH WED. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...MOSTLY 15 KT OR LESS...THROUGH MON. ELY WINDS INCREASE TO 20 KT S OF AROUND 23N BY TUE AND WED AS N END OF A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA COMBINED WITH STRENGTHENING ATLC RIDGE. TRADES IN THE 15 TO 20 KT RANGE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN S OF 17N E OF AROUND 80W. WINDS INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE STRENGTHENING ATLC RIDGE AND APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE. .WARNINGS, ATLC...NONE. CARIBBEAN...NONE. GULF OF MEXICO...NONE. FORECASTER DGS