000
AGXX40 KNHC 111743
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
145 PM FRI AUG 11 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
BENIGN CONDITIONS PERSIST IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH RIDGE OF 
HIGH PRESS COVERING THE ENTIRE AREA. LATEST SHIP/BUOY REPORTS 
ONLY INDICATING SW TO W WINDS OF 10 KT...EXCEPT FOR A FEW 15 KT 
WINDS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THIS 
OVERALL SETUP THROUGH THE SHORT TERM EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT 
INCREASE IN THE ELY WINDS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE LATE SUN 
WITH THE APPROACH OF A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL 
CARIB. OUTLOOK...LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE IN THE WAKE OF THE 
ANCHORED RIDGE OVER THE AREA AND PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE 
TO THE W OF THE AREA MON. 

SW N ATLC...
ATLC RIDGE IS RATHER SUPPRESSED FOR AUGUST AND EXTENDS FROM 
24N65W TO 26N80W. AN E-W ORIENTED STATIONARY FRONT JUST N OF 
THE AREA IN COMBINATION WITH THE SUPPRESSED RIDGE IS ALLOWING 
W-SW WINDS TO EXTEND AS FAR S AS 26N. THESE WINDS PICK UP TO 20 
KT N OF 29N IN AREA OF TIGHTEST PRES GRADIENT. FRONT  
SAGS SLOWLY SWD TO ALONG 31N LATE SAT AND INTO THE FAR NRN 
PORTION OF THE AREA SUN NIGHT AS A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRES AREAS
RIDES ALONG THE FRONT. SWLY WINDS PICK UP TO 20-25 KT S OF THE 
FRONT TO 29N. IN THE MEANTIME THE AXIS OF THE RIDGE REMAINS 
ESSENTIALLY STATIONARY. OUTLOOK....FRONT DROPS FURTHER SWD MON
AND WEAKENS ALONG 31N65W 28N70W 30N75W TUE AND DISSIPATES WED
AS ATLC RIDGE BEGINS TO LIFT NWD AND EXTENDS FROM 27N65W TO 
26N80W BY WED.  
   
CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
1104 UTC QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED A FAIRLY UNIFORM 20-25 KT WIND 
FIELD OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN E OF 78W WITH LIGHTER WINDS W 
OF 78W. TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 71W MOVING WWD 15 KT WILL 
FRESHEN THE WINDS TO 25-30 KT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA SUN AND 
SUN NIGHT. VERY LIGHT WINDS ON 10-15 KT ARE OCCURRING OVER THE 
TROPICAL N ATLC AND ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH SUN NIGHT.   
OUTLOOK...WINDS DECREASE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN MON AS WAVE MOVES 
W OF THE AREA WITH LIGHTER WINDS REMAINING OVER THE TROPICAL N 
ATLC. GFS HINTS AT A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING INTO THE TROPICAL N 
ATLC WATERS ON TUE AND THE E CARIBBEAN WED. 

.WARNINGS...

ATLC...NONE.
CARIBBEAN...NONE.
GULF OF MEXICO...NONE.

FORECASTER COBB