000
AGXX40 KNHC 030505
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
115 AM THU AUG 03 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

T.S. CHRIS CURRENTLY NEAR 19.8N64.9W MOVING W AT 7 KT...WITH 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. THE LATEST 
ADVISORY PUTS CHRIS ON A TRACK TO MOVE JUST N OF HISPANIOLA THEN 
INLAND OVER CUBA THEN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO BY LATE SUN AND 
MON. THE INTENSITY IS KEPT TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS THROUGH THE 
FORECAST PERIOD. MAY HAVE TO KEEP A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN 
THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE FOR EARLY TODAY AS 
MOST OF THE WINDS WITH CHRIS ARE ON THE E SEMICIRCLE...OTHERWISE
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS IN THE SW ATLC ZONE S OF AROUND 24N.
HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER THE ATLC ALONG 27N THEN MOVE TO 30N/31N SAT 
THROUGH MON.

T.S. CHRIS WILL REMAIN N OF THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT...HOWEVER
THE LATEST ADVISORY DOES PUT A SMALL AREA OF TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS OFF THE SW COAST OF CUBA BY LATE SUN OR SUN NIGHT.
WILL WAIT FOR 09Z ADVISORY TO SEE IF THE TREND CONTINUES AND MAY 
HAVE TO HEAD LINE THE NW CARIBBEAN ZONE FOR TROPICAL STORM 
CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SE GULF OF MEXICO LATE SUN 
AND MON OTHERWISE HIGH PRES WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE 
GULF.
   
.WARNINGS...
ATLC...HURCN WARNING AMZ087 AND AMZ080.
CARIBBEAN...NONE.
GULF OF MEXICO...NONE.

FORECASTER DGS