000
AGXX40 KNHC 181704
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
100 PM TUE JUL 18 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK PRES PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH A 
WEAK RIDGE E-W ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF. THE WINDS MAY PICK UP 
SOME IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WED AS THE N END OF A TROPICAL WAVE 
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. OTHERWISE EXPECT LIGHT WINDS...GENERALLY
10 KT OF LESS...TO CONTINUE THROUGH SAT. WEAK FRONT/TROUGH
APPROACHES THE TEXAS COAST SUN...COMBINED WITH THE RIDGE MAY 
INCREASE THE SW WIND OVER THE NORTHERN GULF SUN.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO IS JUST N OF THE AREA AND IS FORECAST TO 
CONTINUE TO MOVE N AWAY FROM THE AREA. THE DEPRESSION IS 
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT BUT THE LATEST 
ADVISORY KEEPS THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND RADII RATHER SMALL 
AND WILL NOT IMPACT THE FORECAST AREA. A QSCAT PASS FROM EARLIER 
THIS MORNING INDICATED 20-25 KT WINDS N OF 29N BETWEEN 70W AND 
73W...SO WILL KEEP WINDS IN THAT RANGE FOR TONIGHT AND BRING 
THEM BACK DOWN WED. OTHERWISE RIDGE FROM 31N65W TO N BAHAMAS 
TONIGHT THEN MOVE N TO 30N WED THROUGH FRI AND BACK S TO 28N SAT 
AND SUN.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 69W IS MOVING W 15-20 KT AND IS PRODUCING 
SCATTERED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AS IT MOVES WWD. THIS MORNINGS 
QSCAT PASS INDICATE TRADES 20-25 KT IN THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
AND GFS REMAINS CONSISTENT ON INCREASING THE WINDS TO 25-30 KT 
IN THAT AREA WED NIGHT THROUGH SUN.
 
.WARNINGS...
ATLC...NONE.
CARIBBEAN...NONE.
GULF OF MEXICO...NONE.

FORECASTER DGS