000
AGXX40 KNHC 161740
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
140 PM SUN JUL 16 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
BENIGN CONDITIONS REMAIN THE RULE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. WEAK 
1020 MB HIGH OVER THE NE GULF AND ASSOCIATED RIDGE WILL DOMINATE 
THROUGH TUE NIGHT. THE ONLY CHANGE IS THAT THE RIDGE AXIS SHOULD 
SLIP SWD TO ALONG 27N MON AND MON NIGHT AND ALLOW SOME WEAK WLY 
WINDS OVER THE AREA N OF 29N. RIDGE BEGINS RETREATING NWD TUE.
OUTLOOK...RIDGE AXIS ALONG 29N WED WILL LIFT NWD TO 30N/31N FRI 
WITH LIGHT E/SE FLOW OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. 

SW N ATLC...
WEAK LOW PRES OFF THE CAROLINAS AND ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL AFFECT 
THE FAR NRN PORTIONS OF THE REGION THROUGH LATE MON. VISIBLE 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT 
WITH BUOY 41002 REPORTING SW WINDS OF 20-25 KT OVER THE PAST 
SEVERAL HOURS. FRONT WILL MAKE IT DOWN TO ALONG 31N AS LOW PRESS 
MOVES NE AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH SW WINDS OF 20-25 KT MOVING 
INTO AREAS N OF 30N. WILL WORD WINDS AND SEAS STRONGER IN 
SCATTERED TSTMS AS SEVERAL SHIPS HAVE REPORTED 30+ KT WINDS. 
ATLC RIDGE BUILDS BACK IN BY TUE NIGHT. OUTLOOK...RIDGE LIFTS 
NWD TO ALONG 30N WED AND 31N THU AND FRI AS AN EXTENSION OF A 
TROPICAL WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE SE BAHAMAS WED...AND INTO THE FL 
STRAITS BY LATE FRI. SOME ELY WINDS OF 20 K MAY ACCOMPANY THE 
PASSAGE OF THE NRN END OF THE TROPICAL WAVE IN THE BAHAMAS.  

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL TRADE WIND REGIME EXPECTED. 
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 54W WILL MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL N 
ATLC TONIGHT AND MON AND INTO E AND CNTRL CARIBBEAN TUE/TUE 
NIGHT WITH AN INCREASE IN ELY TRADES MORE PRONOUNCED IN THE 
CARIBBEAN BY TUE NIGHT. OUTLOOK...WAVE MOVES INTO CNTRL 
CARIBBEAN WED AND W CARIBBEAN THU AND FRI WITH AN INCREASE IN 
THE TRADES IN ITS WAKE WITH 30 KT WINDS EXPECTED THU AND FRI 
ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST. WINDS DECREASE OVER THE TROPICAL N 
ATLC WELL E OF THE WAVE WED THROUGH FRI.  

.WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...NONE.
CARIBBEAN...NONE.
GULF OF MEXICO...NONE.

FORECASTER COBB