000
AGXX40 KNHC 140508
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 AM FRI JUL 14 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

A FLAT MID LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS W TO E BETWEEN 25N AND 35N FROM 
THE SRN US ACROSS THE ATLC TO 40W TONIGHT. AN OLD INVERTED MID 
LEVEL TROUGH WAS OVER THE WRN GULF MOVING SLOWLY W. ON THE 
SURFACE THE ATLC RIDGE WAS CENTERED OVER MID OCEAN WITH AN AXIS 
EXTENDING WSW ALONG 30N TO THE N GULF COAST. MODERATE TRADES S 
OF 25N E OF 80W WITH GULF WINDS REMAINING LIGHT. WEAK TRPL WAVES 
WERE ALONG 53W AND 68W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. 

LATER DAY 1 DEEP EASTERLIES HAVE WIDENED DURING THE PAST 
WEEK..NOW S OF 27N. WESTERLIES WERE CONFINED TO N OF 35N. ON THE 
SURFACE THE ATLC RIDGE SAGS A LITTLE SWD DIMINISHING ELY WINDS N 
OF 20N TO 10 TO 15 KT. CARIB WINDS REMAIN MODERATE WHILE GULF 
WINDS REMAIN LIGHT.

FOR DAY 2 THE WESTERLIES BEGIN TO MAKE AN INROAD OVER MID OCEAN 
BETWEEN 50W AND 70W. THE ELONGATED MID LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO 
CONSOLIDATE WITH ONE CENTER NEAR 35N40W AND THE OTHER OVER THE 
CENTRAL PLAINS. ON THE SURFACE THE ATLC RIDGE REMAINS ALONG 30N 
WITH MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE E WINDS N OF 20N. CARIB WINDS 
REMAIN MODERATE. 

OUTLOOK PERIOD...

DAY 3 FINDS A RACE OF SORTS TAKING PLACE OVER THE MID ATLC WHERE 
A SHORTWAVE IN THE WESTERLIES TRIES TO DIG SE INTO THE WEAKNESS 
ALONG 65W WHILE THE ERN ATLC MID LEVEL RIDGE MOVES WWD CLOSING 
THE WEAKNESS AREA. THE MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS 
STRENGTHENS DAY 3 AND EXPANDS OVER THE ENTIRE SE US AND GULF 
THEN OVER THE BAHAMAS. ON THE SURFACE THE ATLC RIDGE WEAKENS W 
OF 70W RESULTING IN LIGHTER WINDS OVER THE WRN CARIB W OF 75W. 
GULF WINDS REMAIN LIGHT.

FOR DAY 4 THE GFS MODEL SHOWS THE SHORTWAVE IN THE WESTERLIES 
LIFTING NE AND AWAY FROM THE WEAKNESS AREA. AN INVERTED TROUGH 
IN THE EASTERLIES MOVES N OF PUERTO RICO INTO THE WEAKNESS AREA 
BETWEEN THE TWO STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGES. ON THE SURFACE THE ATLC 
RIDGE REMAINS OVER MID OCEAN WITH A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDING WSW TO 
30N80W. WINDS N OF 20N W OF 65W SHOULD BE MOSTLY LIGHT. CARIB 
WINDS MODERATE BETWEEN 68W AND 80W. 

DAY 5 FINDS THE INVERTED MID LEVEL TROUGH N OF PUERTO RICO 
MOVING W TO 70W WHILE THE STRONG RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS 
WEAKENS SLIGHTLY. A NEW INVERTED TROUGH MOVES E TO NEAR 45W. ON 
THE SURFACE A TROUGH MOVES TO 65W ASSOCIATED WITH THE INVERTED 
TROUGH ALONG 70W. WINDS N OF 20N W OF 65W WILL REMAIN LIGHT 
WHILE CARIB WINDS REMAIN MODERATE.

.WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...NONE.
CARIBBEAN...NONE.
GULF OF MEXICO...NONE.

FORECASTER RRG