000
AGXX40 KNHC 111802
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
200 PM TUE JUL 11 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK TROUGH EXTENDING FROM N FLORIDA INTO THE 
NORTHERN GULF IS BECOMING MORE DIFFUSE AND IS EXPECTED TO 
DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE 
EXTENDS WSW FROM A 1030 MB HIGH NEAR 35N60W TO THE SOUTHERN GULF 
COAST. A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 24N86W. 
DIFFLUENT FLOW EAST OF THE UPPER LOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTION AND 
PRODUCING SCATTERED TSTMS IN THE GULF WEST OF FLORIDA. ANOTHER 
UPPER LOW NEAR 29N75W HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED TODAY AND IS 
EXITING THE DISCUSSION AREA. DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN THE 
UPPER LOWS IS TRIGGERING SCATTERED TSTMS IN THE BAHAMAS NEAR 
23N76W. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 52W IS MOVING WEST INTO THE 
DISCUSSION AREA WITH ISOLATED TSTMS NEAR 13N51W. A TROPICAL WAVE 
ALONG 73W IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS N OF THE DOMINICAN 
REPUBLIC. EXCEPT FOR AN AREA OF SHOWERS IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS 
GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS OVER MOST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO 
AND THE CARIBBEAN.

25 TO 30 KT WINDS WILL CONTINUE N OF COLUMBIA THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
AND SEAS IN THE AREA WILL BUILD TO 11 TO 13 FT. 15 TO 20 KT TRADE
WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION AREA S 
OF 25N THROUGH WED EXCEPT FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO WHERE WINDS 
WILL BE AROUND 10 KT.

ATLC RIDGE WILL REMAIN NEAR 30N BUT WEAKEN SOMEWHAT THIS WEEKEND.
THE RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TRADE WINDS IN THE ATLANTIC AND 
CARIBBEAN. THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 52W WILL MOVE W INTO THE E 
CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT AND THU WITH LITTLE DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED.

.WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...NONE.
CARIBBEAN...NONE.
GULF OF MEXICO...NONE.

FORECASTER MUNDELL