000
AGXX40 KNHC 081650
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 AM SAT JUL 08 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

STATIONARY FRONT IN THE GULF OF MEXICO CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM W 
CENTRAL FLORIDA TO 28N87W 27N92W. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT 
N AND DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT. OTHERWISE A WEAK PRES PATTERN 
ACROSS THE AREA WITH RIDGE CURRENTLY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS TO 
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THE RIDGE WILL MOVE N THROUGH THE PERIOD 
AND THE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN LIGHT...WITH WINDS MOSTLY 10 KT OR 
LESS.

WEAK STATIONARY FRONT IN THE WESTERN ATLC FROM 31N77W TO 28N80W 
WILL BECOME DIFFUSE LATE SUN. RIDGE FROM 30N65W TO S FLORIDA 
WILL MOVE TO ALONG 30N/31N ON SUN THEN N OF 31N MON AND STAYING 
N OF THE AREA THROUGH THU. THE N END OF A TROPICAL WAVE WILL 
MOVE ACROSS THE S PORTION OF THE AREA ON SUN NIGHT THEN WEAKEN 
WED NEAR THE STRAITS OF FL AND SE OF THE AREA THU. THE GFS IS 
NOT AS STRONG WITH THE WINDS AS IN PREVIOUS RUNS...S MAY HAVE TO 
BACK OFF THE WINDS A LITTLE AND SEE WHAT LATER MODEL RUNS 
SUGGEST.

THE ATLC RIDGE HAS WEAKENED SOME AS COMPARED TO THE PAST SEVERAL 
DAYS AND THE TRADES ACROSS THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN HAVE DECREASE 
TO AROUND 20-25 KT IN THE TYPICAL AREAS NEAR THE COAST OF 
COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE 
TROPICAL ATLC ZONE LATER TONIGHT AND INTO THE E CARIBBEAN MON 
THEN CONTINUE MOVING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU. THE WAVE 
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE W CARIBBEAN WED AND THU. ANOTHER 
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE WED THEN 
INTO E CARIBBEAN THU.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS