000
AGXX40 KNHC 031806
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
205 PM MON JUL 03 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

IN THE ATLC...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM CLOSED LOW NEAR 
30N 47W THROUGH PR AND INTO THE SW CARIBBEAN. A SECOND UPPER 
SMALLER UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OFF THE 
EAST COAST OF FL. AT THE SURFACE...RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS THE 
WESTERN ATLC NORTH OF 31N. SCATTEROMETER IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK 
SURFACE TROUGH BENEATH THE UPPER TROUGH OFF THE FL EAST 
COAST...WITH COPIOUS CONVECTION BETWEEN 71W AND 78W. MEANWHILE 
IN THE TROPICAL ATLC...TSTMS ARE ACTIVE MAINLY E OF THE LEEWARD 
ISLANDS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROP WAVE NEAR 59W. EXPECT THE RIDGE 
TO BUILD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS OVER THE WRN ATLC. THIS WILL 
RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF 
THE RIDGE...MAINLY BETWEEN 12N AND 20N. THE WEAK TROUGH OFF 
FLORIDA WILL MOVE W AS THE RIDGE BUILDS W...PROVIDING FRESH E TO 
SE FLOW NORTH OF HISPANIOLA. 

FOR THE CARIBBEAN...BUOY 42058 IS STILL SHOWING FAIRLY STRONG 
EAST WINDS...ALTHOUGH WINDS ARE DIMINISHING A LITTLE FROM 
YESTERDAY. EXPECT DEVELOPING GALE CONDITIONS IN A BROAD AREA 
OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN STARTING IN THE NEXT 
COUPLE OF DAYS...AS THE AFOREMENTIONED ATLC RIDGE BUILDS AND THE 
TROP WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. GALE CONDITIONS  
WILL RETURN TO THE COLOMBIAN COAST THU INTO FRI AS THE RIDGE 
BUILDS WEST.

IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN IN PLACE OVER THE 
EASTERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 
MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS ARE EVIDENT OVER THE WESTERN 
GULF...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TEXAS COAST. E TO SE FLOW WILL REMAIN 
IN PLACE AS THE ATLC RIDGE BUILDS WEST...WITH NO MAJOR CHANGES 
ANTICIPATED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN