000 AGXX40 KNHC 300637 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 235 AM FRI JUN 30 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... UNFORTUNATELY...THIS EVENING'S QUIKSCAT OVERPASSES CLIPPED THE OUTER EDGES OF THE GALE WARNING OVER THE SOUTH/CENTRAL AREA OF THE CARIBBEAN. THE 2348Z PASS...HOWEVER...DID INDICATE THAT WINDS OF 25 KT STILL EXTEND W TO 80W AND S OF JAMAICA. GALE WITH ASSOCIATED SEAS TO 14 FT WILL REMAIN UP BASED ON THIS AFTERNOON'S DATA...BUT MAY SHORTENED SLIGHTLY TODAY ON THE W SIDE TO 75W BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED QUIKSCAT SWATH. THE N SIDE OF THE GALE BOX WILL REMAIN S OF 13N PRIMARILY BASED ON THE FACT THAT BUOY 42058 HAS NOT REPORTED WINDS GREATER THAN 31 KT FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 71W SHOULD TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST AND HISPANIOLA TODAY AS IT MOVES QUICKLY WESTWARD. QUIKSCAT DEPICTED 20 TO 25 KT VECTORS E OF THE WAVE. EXPECT THIS EASTERLY COMPONENT STRENGTH TO PROGRESS W ALONG WITH THE WAVE OVER THE W CARIBBEAN SAT NIGHT AND SUN...THEN OVER THE YUCATAN AND OUT OF THE AREA MON. BOTH NOGAPS AND GFS NWW3 SUGGEST THAT SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8 FT SAT NIGHT AND SUN OVER THE W CARIBBEAN WITH WAVE PASSAGE...SUBSIDING TO 6 FT OR LESS BY TUE NIGHT. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE BRIEF RELIEF FROM HEAVY SEAS AND STRONG WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ON MONDAY...WITH TRADES INCREASING AND SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT OVER E CARIBBEAN TUE WITH PASSAGE OF NEXT TROPICAL WAVE. SW N ATLC... STRONG SUBTROPICAL ATLC RIDGE CURRENTLY ANCHORED ACROSS FORECAST AREA SHOULD DRIFT N TO GA/FL BORDER SAT AND N OF AREA BY SUN AND REMAIN IN THIS GENERAL AREA THROUGH TUE. RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS WILL SPREAD OVER THE N REGION TODAY...MODERATE EASTERLIES STRETCHING S TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS THEN INCREASING TO 20 KTS S OF 24N. SHOULD SEE SOME TRADE ENHANCEMENT TODAY THROUGH SAT NIGHT AS WAVE BRUSHES S PORTION. NAM AND GFS INDICATE A HINT OF 25 KT WINDS SAT OVER S BAHAMAS WHILE NOGAPS AND EUROPEAN MODELS SHOW 20 KT. ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH CHOPPY SEAS TO 6 OR 7 FT ARE EXPECTED OVER THESE WATERS OVER THE WEEKEND. SFC REFLECTION OF MID-TROPOSPHERIC PERTURBATION ALONG 67W SHOULD DRIFT N WITH ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND 20 KT EASTERLY WINDS...REMAINING E OF CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND MOVING OUT N OF AREA SUN MORNING. GULF OF MEXICO... WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN CENTERED NORTH OF AREA THROUGH SAT SUSTAINING LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS 4 FT OR LESS OVER ENTIRE GULF. RIDGE SHOULD BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS SUN AND MON WITH SLIGHT STRENGTHENING...10 TO 15 KT OF E WIND BY MON MORNING. LOOK FOR TRICKY NAVIGATION CONDITIONS OVER THE STRAITS OF FL SUN/MON MORNING...SEAS TO 8 FT AND STRONG E WINDS...WITH APPROACH OF ABOVE MENTIONED TROPICAL WAVE. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... GALE WARNING FROM 11N TO 13N E OF 77W...AMZ084. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER ROBERTS