000
AGXX40 KNHC 151812
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
210 PM THU JUN 15 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS BROAD UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER 
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON...UPPER RIDGE CENTERED 
OVER ERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND AN ANOTHER UPPER LOW NEAR 22N 57W. 
SURFACE DATA AND QUIKSCAT IMAGERY SHOW FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON THE 
TRAILING EDGE OF THE REMNANTS OF ALBERTO MOVING INTO THE WESTERN 
ATLC WATERS N OF THE BAHAMAS...ALONG WITH A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS 
ALONG 26N. FURTHER SOUTH...A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 76W CONTINUES 
WEST INTO THE WRN CARIBBEAN.  

GULF OF MEXICO...QUIKSCAT IMAGERY ALONG WITH LAND BASED AND BUOY 
OBSERVATIONS HINT OF A WEAK TROUGH OVER BAY OF CAMPECHE ON 
FAVORABLE SE SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW. THIS FEATURE IS RAPIDLY 
DAMPENING OUT AS THE SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS IN THE WESTERN GULF OF 
MEXICO. HOWEVER...THE TIGHTENING GRADIENT WILL ALLOW WINDS TO 
INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS OVER MUCH OF THE WRN GULF FRI AND 
SAT. 

SW N ATLC...RIDGE AXIS ALONG 26N WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT EAST AS 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES INTO WATERS N OF THE BAHAMAS. GFS SHOWS 
THIS AS A BROAD TROUGH E OF FLORIDA AND N OF PR BY SAT...WITH 
WINDS AND SEAS INCREASING AGAIN NEAR 75W OFF N ATLC COAST OF FL 
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER SOUTHEAST STATES.

CARIBBEAN AND TRPCL ATLC...WINDS AND SEAS OVER SW CARIBBEAN WILL 
INCREASE TNT AS TRPCL WAVE NEAR 76W PUSHES W. MEANWHILE ANOTHER 
TRPCL WAVE WILL PUSH THRU ATLC WATERS AND NW OF LESSER ANTILLES 
SAT AND INTO WRN ATLC N OF THE ISLANDS THRU MON. 

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN