000
AGXX40 KNHC 011725
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 PM THU JUN 01 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK PRES GRADIENT PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO 
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND LOW SEAS ACROSS ALMOST THE ENTIRE AREA.
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A WEAK COLD FRONT CURRENTLY 
ACROSS W CENTRAL TEXAS WILL APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FRI 
MORNING THEN PUSH OFF INTO THE NORTHERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON. 
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NE GULF SAT AND SUN AS IT FURTHER 
WEAKENS.

BROAD TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE ATLC FROM 30N65W TO 25N69W.
THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT NWD AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE BY FRI 
NIGHT. THE ATLC SUBTROPICAL HIGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED ROUGHLY 
ALONG 25N FRI AND SAT THEN MOVES SUN THROUGH TUE IN ADVANCE OF
COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW PORTION OF THE 
AREA LATE SAT NIGHT OR EARLY SUN MORNING. SW WINDS AHEAD OF THE 
FRONT MAY BRIEFLY INCREASE TO 15-20 KT SUN. MODELS DEVELOP A LOW 
OVER THE BAHAMAS MON THEN MOVE NE TUE. THIS VERY LATE IN THE 
FORECAST PERIOD SO STILL HAVE PLENTY OF TIME TO SEE HOW FUTURE 
MODEL RUNS HANDLE THE SITUATION.

TRADES REMAIN ON THE WEAK SIDE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN...EXCEPT FOR 
15-20 KT TRADES OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. HOWEVER SHOULD  
EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE THROUGH FRI THROUGH MON AS THE ATLC 
RIDGE BECOMES RE-ESTABLISHED.

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS