000 AGXX40 KNHC 290455 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 AM MON MAY 29 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. MAIN WESTERLIES DIVERTED WELL N OF THE AREA TONIGHT. WEAK UPPER LOW OFF SE COAST NEAR 31N73W MOVING SLOWLY S CAUGHT BETWEEN A STRONG RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM THE GULF NNE AND A WEAKER RIDGE BETWEEN 40W AND 50W. ON THE SURFACE TONIGHT A MID ATLC RIDGE WAS CENTERED NEAR 33N50W AT 1027 MB WITH AN AXIS EXTENDING SW TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A WEAK TROUGH EXTENDED FROM NEAR PUERTO RICO NEWD AND ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH EXTENDED NEWD FROM S FL AND THE NW BAHAMAS NEWD. A WEAK RIDGE WAS OVER THE NE GULF. FOR DAY 1 THE WEAK UPPER LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR 29N73W WHILE THE STRONG RIDGE HOLDS FIRM FROM THE GULF NEWD. AN ELONGATED UPPER RIDGE LIES OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDING W TO 60W. ON THE SURFACE THE MID ATLC RIDGE HOLDS NEAR 33N50W. BOTH WEAK TROUGHS REMAIN ABOUT THE SAME POSITION AND THE WEAK RIDGE HOLDS OVER THE NE GULF. CARIB WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT ELY EXCEPT FOR S OF 13N WHERE MODERATE ELY TRADES PREVAIL. ATLC TRADES E OF 60W MOSTLY 20 KT. DAY 2 FINDS THE WEAK UPPER LOW OPENING TO A ELONGATED TROUGH EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL CUBA NEWD TO 31N70W. THE GULF UPPER RIDGE CLOSES OFF OVER THE ERN US WHILE THE TROPICAL UPPER RIDGE HOLDS ALONG 20N. ON THE SURFACE DAY 2 THE MID ATLC RIDGE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY TO 1024 MB AND DRIFTS E. THE PUERTO RICO TROUGH DRIFTS NWD TO 31N62W 23N70W AND THE NE GULF RIDGE DRIFTS WWD. WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE ALL SECTIONS. OUTLOOK PERIOD... ENERGY IN THE WESTERLIES TRYING TO WORK IT'S WAY SWD OVER MID OCEAN DAY 3. THE UPPER TROUGH OVER CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS CLOSES OFF ONCE AGAIN NEAR 30N71W BUT REMAINS STATIONARY. THE UPPER RIDGE FROM THE GULF NEWD WEAKENS SOME AND THE TROPICAL UPPER RIDGE DRIFTS SWD TO AROUND 17N. ON THE SURFACE A WEAK LOW FORMS FROM THE OLD TROUGH AND MOVES NEWD TO NEAR 31N57W. THE MID ATLC RIDGE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN TO 1019 MB WITH TRADES DECREASING E OF 60W. A WEAK RIDGE OVER THE GULF REMAINS BUT IS WEAKER DAY 3. WINDS N OF 28N OVER THE ATLC INCREASE 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT. CARIB WINDS LIGHT TO MODERATE AND GULF WINDS LIGHT. ENERGY IN THE WESTERLIES CLOSES OFF DAY 4 OVER MID OCEAN WITH A CENTER NEAR 35N43W. THE WEAK UPPER LOW N OF THE BAHAMAS DRIFTS NWD TO NEAR 33N75W. UPPER RIDGING OVER THE GULF WEAKENS BUT THE TROPICAL UPPER RIDGE HOLDS FIRM AND EVEN BUILDS NWD ALONG 60W. FOR DAY 4 THE ATLC COLD FRONT MOVES EWD TO 31N41W 28N55W WITH WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN ELSEWHERE DAY 4 WITH ONLY THE CARIB HAVING MODERATE ELY WINDS. LITTLE CHANGE TO THE DEEP UPPER VORTEX OVER MID OCEAN DAY 5 EXCEPT FOR IT DRIFTING EWD. A MODERATE SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF THE SE COAST TO NEAR 70W WHILE A SECOND SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE NW GULF. LITTLE CHANGE TO THE UPPER TROPICAL RIDGE. THE ONLY ACTION LIES WITH THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVES E OF 40W WITH WINDS 25 TO 30 KT..OTHERWISE THE PRESSURE PATTERN REMAINS WEAK AND WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT EXCEPT FOR THE CARIB WHERE ELY TRADES S OF 17N INCREASE 15 TO 20 KT. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER RRG