000 AGXX40 KNHC 221907 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 305 PM MON MAY 22 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. UPPER LEVELS... BROAD TROUGH IS NORTH OF 29N EAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. A RIDGE IS SOUTH OF THE TROUGH AND EXTENDS EAST TO A LINE FROM FLORIDA TO THE EAST PART OF YUCATAN PENINSULA AND OVER MOST OF CENTRAL AMERICA. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS OVER THE SOUTHWEST PART OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE TROUGH WILL WEAKEN BUT EXPEND SOUTHWARD AND BY THURSDAY BE OVER THE ATLANTIC AREA NORTH OF 26N. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AND RETREATS SOUTH AS THE TROUGH EXTENDS SOUTH. THE CIRCULATION OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO WILL REMAIN STATIONARY BUT WEAKEN BECOMING A TROUGH BY THURSDAY. THE ATLANTIC TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST PASSING EAST OF 60W FRIDAY. THE TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN BECOMING A FLAT PATTERN BY SATURDAY. THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN STATIONARY BUT WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. BY SATURDAY A RATHER FLAT PATTERN WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA. SURFACE... A RIDGE WILL BASICALLY REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE AREA FROM NORTH OF 26N. THE STRONGEST WINDS I.E. THOSE OF 20 KNOTS OR MORE WILL BE CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE WEST GULF OF MEXICO WHICH WILL ONLY MARGINALLY BE 20 KNOTS AND THE CONSISTENT TRADES IN THE SOUTH CARIBBEAN. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER LL