000 AGXX40 KNHC 210456 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 AM SUN MAY 21 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. HIGH PRES OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE N CENTRAL OR NE GULF THROUGH THU. A WEAK TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER E CUBA IS FORECAST TO MOVE NWWD WITH INCREASING SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY FOR THE SE GULF MON THROUGH WED. WINDS FORECAST TO REMAIN LIGHT OVER THE ENTIRE GULF WITH LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE TO THE MAINLY SELY FLOW. SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 27N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TODAY WHILE THE SOUTHERN PORTION IS FORECAST TO MOVE NWWD AND BE NEAR THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA MON. MODERATE SWLY WINDS OVER THE N PORTION OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS ELSEWHERE. WEAK FRONT MAY MOVES INTO THE N PORTION LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE VOLCANIC ASH SEEMS TO HAVE DISPERSED FROM THIS AFTERNOONS ERUPTION AND VISIBILITIES SHOULD IMPROVE. OTHERWISE SURFACE TROUGH FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO HONDURAS WILL DRIFT W AND WEAKEN LATER TODAY. LATEST QSCAT INDICATES THAT THE TRADES HAVE INCREASED TO 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WED THE DECREASE A LITTLE ON THU AS FRONT MOVES INTO THE ATLC AND RIDGE WEAKENS. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER DGS