000
AGXX40 KNHC 130459
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
100 AM SAT MAY 13 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

COLD FRONT HAS MOVED SE OF THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH 1015 MB HIGH 
PRES NOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF NEAR 27N87W. THE HIGH WILL MOVE 
E SUN AND SLY WINDS WILL PICK UP OVER THE WESTERN GULF AHEAD OF 
THE NEXT COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL APPROACH THE N GULF COAST 
SUN NIGHT AND EXTEND FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO S TEXAS MON 
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ONLY BRIEFLY INCREASE N OF THE FRONT WITH 
THE GFS BEING THE STRONGEST WITH WINDS TO 25 KT. THE OTHER 
MODELS ARE NOT AS STRONG SO WILL KEEP THE CURRENT FORECAST 
TRENDS. THE FRONT MOVES E OF THE AREA BY WED AND HIGH PRES 
BUILDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF.

ATLC COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM 31N71W TO W CUBA. WINDS 
ARE GENERALLY LIGHT WITH THE FRONT AND WILL REMAIN SO AS THE 
FRONT WEAKENS AND MOVES E. THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE BY LATE SUN 
AND HIGH PRES BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES 
OFF THE SE US COAST LATE MON NIGHT WITH SWLY WINDS INCREASING TO 
20 KT AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY STARTING SUN NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL 
EXTEND FROM 31N75W TO 27N80W TUE AND FROM 31N73W TO S FLORIDA 
WED. THE LATEST MODEL RUNS INDICATE THAT THE FRONT IS MOVING A 
LITTLE SLOWER THEN THE CURRENT FORECAST SUGGESTS SO MAY HAVE TO 
MAKE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS.

WEAK RIDGE OVER THE ATLC HAS LED TO A VERY WEAK PRES GRADIENT 
OVER THE CARIBBEAN. WINDS ARE GENERALLY 10 KT OR LESS OVER MOST 
OF THE AREA EXCEPT FOR ENHANCED 15 KT SE WINDS OVER THE E 
CARIBBEAN. THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD W SAT AND SUN WITH WINDS 
INCREASING TO 20 KT OFF THE VENEZUELAN/COLOMBIAN COAST THEN 
INCREASING AND EXPANDING IN COVERAGE MON THROUGH WED.

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS