000 AGXX40 KNHC 281706 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 AM EDT FRI APR 28 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. UPPER LEVELS... LONGWAVE TROUGH IS OVER THE ATLANTIC AREA WITH AN AXIS ALONG 71W. A LONGWAVE RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH AN AXIS ALONG 93W. THE TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH SUNDAY AS A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVES DROP INTO THE TROUGH. LATER ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY THE TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH. BY TUESDAY THE TROUGH WILL HAVE ROTATED NORTHEAST OF THE AREA LEAVING BEHIND A NEAR ZONAL FLOW PATTERN OVER THE AREA. THIS PATTERN WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SURFACE... THE MAJOR SYSTEM IS A LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE ATLANTIC AREA THROUGH MONDAY THEN...AS THE UPPER TROUGH ROTATES NORTHEAST...SO DOES THE SURFACE LOW. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE LOW BEGINNING TONIGHT AND ENDING LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH MONDAY BUT THE ASSOCIATED FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE ATLANTIC AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER TEXAS TONIGHT AND SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL INCREASE TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO THE DEVELOPMENT. A CONTRIBUTING FACTOR IS A BUILDING RIDGE CENTERED OVER FLORIDA WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE GULF THROUGH SUNDAY. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DIMINISH SUNDAY. TRADES ARE LESS THAN NORMAL AND WILL REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE ONLY WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WILL BE ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... GALE WARNING...AMZ080...N OF 28N BETWEEN 69W AND 74W. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER LL