000 AGXX40 KNHC 120606 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 210 AM EDT WED APR 12 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. SW N ATLC... STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR 29N65W ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO A BROAD WEAK 1011 MB LOW NEAR 22N73W. 2255 UTC HIGH RESOLUTION QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED STEADY 25 KT WINDS N OF THE FRONT WITH A FEW AREAS OF 30 KT WINDS AS WELL. LATEST SFC OBS FROM SPGF1/FWYF1 INDICATE THE STRONGEST WINDS...25+ KT ARE GENERALLY S OF 27N AND FUNNELING INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT AND MAY BE ENHANCED OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS IN SCATTERED SHOWER AND TSTM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LOW IN THE AREA. UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN BY THU NIGHT WITH NE WINDS N OF THE WEAKENING FRONT DECREASING AS A PIECE OF THE MID ATLC HIGH PRESS BREAKS OFF AND SAGS SLOWLY SWD INTO THE NE GULF. OUTLOOK...WEAK HIGH PRESS SETTLES IN ALONG 28N FRI AS REMNANT FRONTAL TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE SE PORTION OF THE AREA WITH 20 KT WINDS WITHIN 180-240 NM N OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH. ON SAT AND SUN...A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEMS N OF THE AREA ALLOWS WLY WINDS TO PICK UP TO 15-20 KT N OF 29N AND PUSHES WEAK HIGH PRESS FURTHER S TO ALONG 24N/25N WITH WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KT S OF 29N. GULF OF MEXICO... FETCH OF MODERATE NE WINDS EXTENDS INTO THE SE GULF WITH THIS EVENINGS QUIKSCAT INDICATING 20 KT WINDS GENERALLY S OF 25N E OF 90W WITH STRONGER WINDS LIKELY IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THU...POSSIBLY THU NIGHT OVER THE EXTREME SE GULF AND STRAITS OF FLORIDA WITH ELY WINDS OF 10-15 KT ELSEWHERE. OUTLOOK...WEAK HIGH PRESS SETTLES IN OVER THE N-CENTRAL GULF FRI AND NE GULF SAT THEN E OF THE AREA SUN. LIGHT ELY WINDS ON FRI GRADUALLY VEER TO THE SE TO S W OF 90W SAT AND W OF 85W SUN. WINDS PICK UP TO 20 KT OVER THE FAR WRN GULF LATE SAT INTO SUN. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... 2258 UTC QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED 20 KT WINDS ARE CONFINED TO THE FAR SW CARIBBEAN WITH THE NW CARIBBEAN FALLING BETWEEN THE SWATHS WHERE 20 KT WINDS ARE LIKELY AS WELL. MODERATE NELY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN TODAY INTO THU AS WINDS FROM THE ATLC SEEP ACROSS W CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. WINDS DECREASE BY FRI INTO SUN. SUPPRESSED ATLC RIDGE IS ONLY PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADES OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC. THESE LIGHTER THAN NORMAL TRADES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. GFS CONTINUES TO CLEAR THE ENTIRE AREA OF ANY 20 KT OR GREATER WINDS THROUGH SUN. WHY FIGHT PERSISTENCE! WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER COBB