000 AGXX40 KNHC 111701 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 PM EDT TUE APR 11 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. SW N ATLC... NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR 29N65W ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO THE N COAST OF CUBA NEAR 23N80W. HIGH PRES BUILDING SOUTH FROM THE MID ATLC REGION IS PRODUCING STRONG... 20 TO 25 KT...NE WINDS N OF THE FRONT. HIGHEST WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE N BAHAMAS AND GULF STREAM WATERS E OF SE FLORIDA. SEAS RUNNING A LITTLE HIGHER THAN WAVEWATCH BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE N BAHAMAS. UPPER TROUGH HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD TODAY...THIS HAS INCREASED SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY OVER MUCH OF THE SW N ATLC WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS LIKELY HIGHER NEAR THE TSTM ACTIVITY. FRONT IS FORECAST TO SAG SEWD ALONG THE COAST OF CUBA TONIGHT. WITH FRONT FROM 29N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA EARLY WED. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS OR SEAS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT. HIGH PRES IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND MOVE EASTWARD WITH WINDS DECREASING SLOWLY FROM N TO S. WINDS REMAIN MODERATE OVER THE N BAHAMAS AND SE FL COAST FRI WITH WINDS 15 KT OR LESS ELSEWHERE. REMNANT OF FRONT TO DRIFT NW TOWARDS S FLORIDA. WINDS AND SEAS TO DECREASE AREA WIDE SAT...THEN MAY BECOME MODERATE WLY NE PART SUN AS ANOTHER FRONT PASSES N OF THE AREA. GULF OF MEXICO... FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS NOW LOCATED SE OF THE GULF. HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE ENTIRE AREA. TIGHTEST GRADIENT PRODUCING STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE EXTREME SE GULF AND STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SHIP OBSERVATION OF 9 FT SEAS SW OF KEY WEST THIS MORNING LIKELY MEANS THAT SEAS UP TO ABOUT 11 FT ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRAITS. OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF EAST OF 90W NE TO E WINDS AROUND 20 KT ARE BLOWING. LITTLE CHANGE TO THE CURRENT PATTERN IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE OVER THE NE GULF WED WITH STRONGER WINDS CONTINUING SE PART. WINDS TO REMAIN AROUND 20 KT IN THE STRAITS THROUGH FRI. SAT THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD. WINDS TO DECREASE ALL AREAS...EXCEPT THEY WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ALONG THE TEXAS COAST SAT AFTERNOON IN THE RETURN SLY FLOW. MODERATE SLY WINDS POSSIBLE SUN WITH LIGHT WINDS ELSEWHERE. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... PERIOD OF MODERATE NELY WINDS EXPECTED OVER THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN AS WINDS FROM THE ATLC BLEED ACROSS W CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT THROUGH FRI. WINDS DECREASE BY THE WEEKEND. SUPPRESSED ATLC RIDGE IS ONLY PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADES OVER THE S AND E CARIBBEAN WITH 20 KT WINDS CONFINED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. THESE LIGHTER THAN NORMAL TRADES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN FACT...GFS ACTUALLY CLEARS THE ENTIRE AREA OF ANY 20 KT OR GREATER WINDS THU-SUN. SEE NO REASON TO GO AGAINST THE TREND. NWW3 SEAS LOOK REASONABLE. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER BROWN