000
AGXX40 KNHC 081751
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
150 PM EDT SAT APR 08 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM W FL PANHANDLE TO NW OLD MEXICO 
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL RACE OFF GA COAST AROUND MIDNIGHT 
TONIGHT...AND MOVE SE INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE SUN 
AFTERNOON. NLY FLOW OVER SW GULF WILL BRIEFLY REACH 30 KT THIS 
AFTERNOON. WILL ADJUST SEA HEIGHTS ABOVE NWW3 GUIDANCE IN NLY 
FLOW IN W GULF OF MEXICO. GUIDANCE SEEMS REASONABLE SW N ATLC. 
 
THE FRONT WILL NEARLY STALL FROM JUST W OF BERMUDA TO ACROSS THE 
CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA ON MON. MODELS HANG ONTO 
FRONTAL REMNANTS THROUGH MIDDLE NEXT WEEK WITH THE BOUNDARY 
ORIENTED N TO S ALONG 72W OVER SW ATLC BUT THEN SW FROM WINDWARD 
PASSAGE TO GULF OF HONDURAS. NATURALLY GFS SUGGESTS SEVERAL 
FRONTAL WAVES TO DEVELOP ALONG BOUNDARY...BUT ALL IGNORED FOR 
NOW. 

BRISK NE FLOW...MAINLY 20-25 KT...WILL ESTABLISH ITSELF NW OF 
THIS FRONT OVER ALL WATERS FROM W OF FRONT TO ABOUT 88W BY SUN 
NIGHT...WITH THE GRADIENT FINALLY RELAXING A BIT THU. NE FLOW 
MIGHT INCREASE TO 30 KT G35 KT ALONG 31N IN SW N ATLC BRIEFLY 
SUN AFTERNOON. THIS NE FLOW WILL ADVECT NE SWELLS FROM 030-050 
DEG TO FL COAST...AND INTO NW PORTION OF BAHAMA CHANNEL...WITH 
SOME SWELL REFRACTION POSSIBLE AROUND GRAND BAHAMA AS EARLY AS 
LATE SUN NIGHT...LIKELY CAUSING SOME ADJUSTMENTS ALONG S FL TO 
NW BAHAMA PASSAGE. LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES SLY NW GULF OF MEXICO 
BY LATE MON AND CONTINUES THROUGH THU.       

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER NELSON