000 AGXX40 KNHC 071907 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 PM EDT FRI APR 07 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. FRONTAL TROUGH OVER NRN PORTION OF SW N ATLC WATERS RAPIDLY DISSIPATING. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING OVER SW N ATLC...NRN BAHAMAS AND INTO GULF OF MEXICO...EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT E AS COLD FRONT MOVES OVER NW GULF EARLY SAT MORNING. FRONT SHOULD MOVE OVER E GULF AND PENETRATE NW AREA OF SW N ATLC EARLY SUN MORNING. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THE FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL STALL OVER THE SE GULF/STRAITS OF FL ON SUN. NOGAPS IS SLIGHTLY FASTER AND PUSHES THE SYSTEM INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. THE GFS...ECMWF AND UKMET ALSO INDICATE AN UNSTABLE WAVE DEVELOPING OVER THE SE GULF ALONG THE FRONT ON SUN. FRONT MOVES OVER CNTRL BAHAMAS...REMAINING OVER STRAITS OF FLORIDA/SE GULF ON MON...SLOWLY DRIFTING OVER SE BAHAMAS BECOMING DIFFUSE ON TUE. GULF OF MEXICO... SLY FLOW STRENGTHENING OVER WRN AND CNTRL GULF 15 TO 20 KT WITH SEAS TO 7 FT BEING REPORTED BY BUOYS. WINDS SHIFT NW 20 TO 25 KT BEHIND FRONT SAT MORNING...SPREADING OVER W GULF BY SAT NIGHT. MODERATE TO STRONG NWLY FLOW STRETCHES OVER THE NRN GULF COAST AROUND MIDNIGHT...FURTHER EXTENDING E FOR A BRIEF PERIOD SUN MORNING OVER PANHANDLE COASTAL/OFFSHORE WATERS N OF 26N. MODERATE NLY FLOW DOMINATES GULF BY SUN NIGHT...BECOMING NELY ON MON AND SHIFTING E TO SE 15 TO 20 KT ON TUE AS RIDGE REESTABLISHES OVER THE SE U.S. AND GULF. ATLC... HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATING THE REGION THROUGH SUN MORNING. SLY RETURN FLOW OFF OF THE SE U.S. COAST INCREASES 20 TO 25 KT SAT MORNING. WINDS SHIFTING NLY 20 TO 25 KT OVER NW PORTION BEHIND COLD FRONT SUN MORNING...SPREADING SE OVER NRN BAHAMAS THROUGH TUE. CARIBBEAN... TRADES A LITTLE LIGHTER THAN THE NORM OVER ENTIRE BASIN. MODERATE ELY'S CONFINED TO S CENTRAL PORTION ALONG COLOMBIAN COASTAL WATERS AND NW CARIBBEAN REGION. MODELS IN AGREEMENT WITH RIDGE WEAKENING SUN AFTERNOON AS COLD FRONT MOVES OFF OF SE SEABOARD...RELAXING TRADES OVER NW AREA. BOTTOM LINE...STRONGEST WINDS AND SEAS TO 9 FT TO BASICALLY REMAIN ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER ROBERTS