000
AGXX40 KNHC 061659
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 PM EDT THU APR 06 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

COLD FRONT IS QUICKLY DISSIPATING ACROSS THE SW N ATLC WATERS. 
HIGH PRES MOVING OFF THE SE U.S. COAST WILL SLIDE EAST TO NEAR 
BERMUDA TONIGHT/FRI. THE HIGH WILL MOVE E OF THE AREA FRI 
AFTERNOON WITH RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS THE ATLC AND SE GULF OF 
MEXICO WATERS.  RIDGE WILL RETREAT EASTWARD AS THE NEXT FRONT 
MOVES OFF THE COAST. FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW GULF OF MEXICO BY 
DAYBREAK SAT REACHING FROM 31N74W ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA TO 
YUCATAN PENINSULA SUN. POSITION OF FRONT IS MORE UNCERTAIN 
MON/TUE. GFS STALLS FRONT ACROSS S FLORIDA AND THE SE GULF OF 
MEXICO...BUT THE OTHER NUMERICAL MODELS TEND TO PUSH THE 
FRONT SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. WILL LIKELY COMPROMISE 
WITH FRONT SLOWLY SAGGING SOUTH ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA 
LATE SUN/MON THEN WEAKEN ACROSS THE STRAITS TUE.

GULF OF MEXICO....
SLY RETURN FLOW HAS INCREASED OVER THE WESTERN GULF AS FORECAST. 
WINDS 20-25 KT WITH SEAS TO 9 FT AS REPORTED BY THE NW GULF BUOY.
15-20 KT WINDS WILL SPREAD EASTWARD AHEAD THE FRONT. BRIEF 
PERIOD OF OF 20-25 KT EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT MAINLY OVER THE 
W GULF. NWW3 MAY BE A LITTLE LOW ON SEA HEIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT.
WINDS DECREASE AS HIGH PRES BUILDS SOUTHWARD SUN. MAIN MODEL 
DIFFERENCE AGAIN REMAINS ON THE LOCATION OF THE FRONT MON/TUE. 
GFS ACTUALLY HAS WEAK LOW ALONG TAIL END OF FRONT WHICH 
MAY HELP TO PRODUCE MODERATE NELY WINDS OVER THE N MIDDLE AND NE 
GULF SUN/MON.  WINDS EXPECTED TO BECOME LIGHT ALL AREA TUE.

.ATLC...
WINDS RATHER LIGHT OVER THE ATLC THROUGH TONIGHT. RIDGE 
STRENGTHENS FRI WITH WINDS BECOMING MODERATE OVER THE S AND
NW PORTIONS. 20-25 KT WINDS POSSIBLE NW PART SAT AHEAD OF THE 
FRONT...WINDS SPREADING EAST AHEAD OF THE FRONT SAT NIGHT/SUN. 
NELY WINDS INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KT BEHIND THE FRONT...THEN 
DECREASE A LITTLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

CARIBBEAN...
WINDS MUCH LOWER THAN NORMAL ACROSS THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN. 20 KT 
WINDS CONFINED TO THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SE WINDS 
FORECAST TO INCREASE OVER THE NW PORTION ALONG THE COAST OF THE 
YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT-SAT.  WINDS IN THIS AREA WILL LIKELY 
BE A LITTLE STRONGER THAN FORECAST BY THE GFS. AS THE ATLC RIDGE 
STRENGTHENS WINDS OVER THE S AND E CARIBBEAN WILL INCREASE WITH 
20-25 KT WINDS FORECAST ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. RIDGE 
WEAKENS AGAIN LATE SUN-TUE WITH WINDS DECREASING EXCEPT OVER THE 
EXTREME SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN.

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER BROWN