000 AGXX40 KNHC 230625 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 AM EST THU MAR 23 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. VERY ACTIVE PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE WEEKEND. SEEMS MORE LIKE JANUARY THAN LATE MARCH. GULF OF MEXICO... OLD FRONT NOW STATIONARY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. IT CURRENTLY STRETCHES FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA ALONG 24N93W TO THE SW BAY OF CAMPECHE. STRONGEST NELY WINDS...NEAR 20 KT ARE OCCURRING OVER THE NW GULF OF MEXICO BEHIND THE FRONT. NEW AND MUCH STRONGER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFFSHORE BEFORE DAYBREAK THIS MORNING. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL PRODUCE STRONG TO GALE FORCE NLY WINDS. TO COMPLICATE MATTERS...WAVE OF LOW PRES WILL FORM ALONG THE OLD FRONT THIS MORNING NEAR 24N92W. THE WEAK LOW WILL MOVE ENE AND ACROSS S FLORIDA EARLY TONIGHT. MAIN CONCERN WITH LOW IS SCATTERED TSTMS THAT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND TRACK EASTWARD. THE STRONGER FRONT WILL SWEEP THE GULF CLEAN ONCE IT MOVES SE OF THE AREA FRI MORNING. 20-30 KT WINDS FORECAST BEHIND THE STRONGER FRONT OVER THE W GULF. BRIEF PERIOD OF GALE IS EXPECTED OVER THE SW GULF ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING UNTIL ABOUT DAYBREAK FRI. MAINLY 20-25 KT WINDS FORECAST OVER THE E GULF. AS NORMAL...SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD FASTER THAN NWW3 IS FORECASTING...8-12 FT OVER MUCH OF THE GULF WITH 10-15 OVER THE SW GULF AND BAY OF CAMPECHE. WINDS AND SEAS TO DECREASE SAT AS HIGH PRES SETTLES OVER THE AREA. MODERATE SELY RETURN FLOW TO RETURN OVER MAINLY THE NW GULF LATE SUN AND MON. SW N ATLC... COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS ACROSS THE SW N ATLC WATERS FROM NEAR 27N65W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN TODAY...BUT THE W PORTION WILL BE LIFTED NORTHWARD AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS OVER THE GULF AND MOVES EASTWARD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OVER THE AREA TODAY...EXCEPT FOR MODERATE NW WINDS OVER THE NE PART. WINDS FORECAST TO INCREASE AS LOW PRES MOVES ACROSS FLORIDA AND INTO THE W ATLC LATE TONIGHT TO NEAR 29N78W EARLY FRI. TO COMPLICATE MATTERS...THE STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE OFF THE SE U.S. COAST LATE TONIGHT. THIS ALL MEANS INCREASING WINDS OVER THE AREA LATE TONIGHT/FRI. MODELS ARE NOW IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FUTURE TRACK AND STRENGTHEN OF LOW. GFS WHICH WAS THE OUTLIER LAST NIGHT IS NOW IN LINE THE OTHER GUIDANCE. THE LOW WILL MOVE ENE PASSING NORTH OF BERMUDA SAT. THE TRAILING FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY EAST REACHING FROM 29N65W TO E CUBA SAT. THEN WEAKEN ACROSS THE SE PORTION OF THE AREA SUN AND MON. 20-30 KT WINDS EXPECTED AROUND THE W AND SW SIDE OF THE LOW...MAINLY N OF ABOUT 27N. WINDS TO REMAIN MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG OVER THE N PART SUN...BEFORE DECREASING MOST AREAS MON. WITH HIGH PRESSURE THE NORTH MODERATE NE WINDS MAY AFFECT THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. AGAIN THE NWW3 SEEMS TO SLOW IN BUILD SEAS WITH THE DEVELOPING LOW. OTHERWISE SEAS LOOK REASONABLE GIVE SITUATION. CARIBBEAN...TRADES WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TODAY AS ATLC RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING LOW/COLD FRONT. BY TONIGHT...20 KT WINDS CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS ALONG THE COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA. WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN BECOME LIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT TODAY. FRONT TO ENTER THE NW CARIBBEAN FRI MORNING WITH WINDS QUICKLY INCREASING. 20-25 KT WINDS EXPECTED IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FT. FRONT WEAKENS FROM WINDWARD PASSAGE TO HONDURAS OVER THE WEEKEND WITH WINDS SLOWLY DECREASING. TRADES ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA DECREASE TO 15-20 KT. WINDS MOSTLY REMAIN 15 KT OR LESS OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC AND THE REMAINDER OF THE E CARIBBEAN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... GALE WARNING S OF 23N W OF 93W...GMZ082. FORECASTER BROWN