000 AGXX40 KNHC 141801 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1200 PM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. ATLANTIC... RIDGE ANCHORED ALONG 27N/28N IS PRODUCING LIGHT S TO SE FLOW E OF 77W. THIS MORNING'S QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED MODERATE SWLY WINDS OVER THE JACKSONVILLE FL /KING'S BAY GA OPAREAS IN ADVANCE OF COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER GA/W FL. FRONT SHOULD BE OFF THE COAST TONIGHT WITH WINDS LIKELY INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY N OF 28N. WINDS SHOULD VEER NELY BY WED AFTERNOON NEAR THE NRN BAHAMAS AS RIDGING BUILDS IN ALONG 30N. SEAS GREATER THAN 9 FT SHOULD REMAIN N OF THE AREA THROUGH WED BEFORE 10 TO 12 FT SEAS BEGIN SPILLING OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION EARLY THU MORNING. WAVE-WATCH MODEL SUGGESTS SEAS WILL BUILD TO 15 FT LATE THU NIGHT N OF 30N E OF 65W. RIDGE DOMINATES THE AREA THU AND FRI WITH A NEW FRONT MOVING OVER THE AREA FRI EVENING. 12Z GFS INDICATES THAT THE GRADIENT BEHIND NEXT FRONT MAY NOT BE AS STRONG AS THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM. 20 TO 25 KT WINDS MAY NOT REACH AS FAR SOUTH AS THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS THIS TIME...REMAINING N OF 28N AND THE DURATION MAY ALSO BE ABBREVIATED. CARIBBEAN... RIDGE OVER THE ATLC CONTINUES TO GENERATE PERSISTENT TRADES OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. STRONGEST WINDS...TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR...ARE LOCATED OVER THE COLOMBIAN COAST. QUIKSCAT OVERPASS INDICATES 30 KT VECTOR WINDS ALONG THE COAST BETWEEN 74W AND 77W...SEAS REMAIN NEAR 12 FT. ATLC COLD FRONT MAY INFLUENCE BRIEF RELIEF WEDNESDAY BEFORE RIDGING BEHIND THE FRONT BUILDS BACK IN. E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...SEAS OF UP TO 10 FT ARE AFFECTING THE AN AREA S OF 14N...BUT SHOULD DROP OFF BY THU MORNING TO 8 TO 9 FT. THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD SUBSIDE TO 6 FT OR LESS THU NIGHT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH SUNDAY. GULF OF MEXICO... COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR PANAMA CITY FL SW TO 27N92W THEN BECOMES LESS DISCERNIBLE SOUTHWESTWARD TO NEAR TUXPAN. THIS MORNING'S PARTIAL QUIKSCAT SWATH OVER THE NW GULF SUGGESTS 25 KT NE WINDS...WITH A FEW 30 KT VECTORS ALONG THE EDGE OF THE OVERPASS. BUOYS INDICATE 8 TO 9 FT SEAS BEHIND THE FRONT...HANDLED RATHER WELL BY THE NWW3. WINDS SHOULD VEER MORE ELY 20 KT BY WED MORNING WITH SEAS ALSO ABATING TO LESS THAN 8 FT. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE FURTHER TO LESS THAN 20 KT EARLY THU MORNING. 12Z GFS INDICATES NEW FRONT PENETRATING NRN GULF FRI MORNING...A LITTLE SLOWER THAN LAST NIGHT'S RUN. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 KT OVER THE WRN GULF SAT MORNING...MAINTAINING LESS THAN 20 KT REMAINDER OF GULF. MODERATE SELY'S SHOULD SPREAD E TO 88W BY SUN AFTERNOON. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER ROBERTS