000 AGXX40 KNHC 140602 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 102 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. ATLANTIC... STRONG RIDGE IN PLACE ALONG 28N/29N HAS THE AREA UNDER GENERALLY LIGHT SE/S FLOW. QUIKSCAT PASS JUST BEFORE 00Z INDICATED S/SWLY WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT WITHIN 240 NM OF THE N FLORIDA/GEORGIA COAST IN ADVANCE OF COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER THE SE UNITED STATES. FRONT SHOULD BE ALONG THE COAST BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS LIKELY INCREASING TO 20-25 KT AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY N OF 30N. POST-FRONTAL WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY NW/N 20-25 KT WITH 30 KT POSSIBLE ALONG 31N THEN SHOULD TURN MORE NE/ELY BY WED AFTERNOON NEAR THE NRN BAHAMAS AS RIDGING BUILDS IN ALONG 30N. NWW3 SHOWS MAXIMUM SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT BEHIND THE FRONT... WHICH SEEMS REASONABLE GIVEN SHORT DURATION OF STRONGEST WINDS. 10-12 FT NWLY SWELLS WILL THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE NE PORTION OF THE AREA LATE WED/THU AS THE MAIN STORM SYSTEM PULLS AWAY TO THE NE. RIDGE DOMINATES THE AREA THU AND FRI WITH A SECOND FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA LATE FRI AND WINDS ONCE AGAIN INCREASING TO 20-25 KT AND SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT IN NWLY SWELL ALONG 30N. CARIBBEAN... STRONG RIDGE OVER THE ATLC CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN STEADY ELY TRADES OVER THE REGION. STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED OVER THE CLIMATOLOGICALLY USUAL AREA OF THE COLOMBIAN COAST...CURRENTLY NEAR 30 KT AND SEAS TO 12 FT. WINDS MAY DECREASE A TAD TUE THROUGH THU AS A COLD FRONT MOVES OVER THE W ATLC AND WEAKENS THE RIDGE...BUT WILL THEN INCREASE AGAIN THU NIGHT AS THE RIDGE RE-BUILDS. 8-9 FT NE/ELY SWELLS ARE AFFECTING WATERS E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES BUT ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT BY THU AS THE TRADES WEAKEN OVER THE ATLC. SEAS OVER THE AREA WILL BE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE THU NIGHT AND FRI BEFORE NLY SWELL IMPACTS THE NRN PART OF THE AREA ON SAT. GULF OF MEXICO... COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM ABOUT BATON ROUGE/NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA SW TO 25N95W THEN BECOMES MORE DIFFUSE SWD TO CABO ROJO. BUOY AND C-MAN OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST HAVE BEEN FLUCTUATING OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS IN WIND SPEED AND WAVE HEIGHT...BUT THE OVERALL SENSE IS NLY WINDS 15-20 KT WITH SEAS 4-6 FT. THESE TRENDS ARE A LITTLE SLOWER THAN GFS GUIDANCE BUT WOULD EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...LIKELY TO 25 KT BY SUNRISE. MAXIMUM SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8 OR 9 FT OVER THE NW GULF BUT THEN WINDS WILL QUICKLY TURN MORE NE/ELY LATE WED AND EFFECTIVELY STOP WAVE GROWTH. 15-20 KT RETURN FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED BY WED EVENING AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT WHICH ONLY GRAZES THE N GULF COAST THU NIGHT AND FRI. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 KT NEAR THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA COAST BUT REMAIN LIGHT ELSEWHERE. STRONGER RETURN FLOW SETS UP AGAIN FOR FRI NIGHT AND SAT. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER BERG