000 AGXX40 KNHC 100718 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 215 AM EST FRI MAR 10 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM SW LOUISIANA SW TO ALONG THE TEXAS COAST EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DRIFT NW AND DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING. WINDS ARE RATHER LIGHT OVER THE W GULF W OF 94W AS BEING REPORTED BY BUOYS...HOWEVER SE SWELLS UP TO 7 FT ARE BEING OBSERVED. HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDING WWD FROM THE W ATLC INTO THE MIDDLE GULF OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH LOWER PRES OVER TEXAS AND THE CENTRAL U.S. RESULTING IN STRONG SLY WINDS OVER THE REST OF THE GULF WITH WIND SPEEDS IN THE RANGE OF 20-25 KT AND SEAS AS HIGH AS 10 FT AS REPORTED BY BUOY AND OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORMS. THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE GULF THROUGH SAT. NEXT FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS MON AFTERNOON...AND REACH A LINE FROM NE FLORIDA TO THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE LATE TUE. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO BE N-NE IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE TUE WITH SEAS POSSIBLY BUILDING TO 9 FT. S OF THE FRONT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WITH LOW SEAS. INITIAL NWW3 SEAS LOOK PRETTY GOOD WITH SLY FLOW ACROSS THE GULF. HIGH PRES OF 1023 MB ANALYZED JUST N OF THE AREA NEAR 32N67W WILL SHIFT E THROUGH TONIGHT WITH SLY WINDS ALREADY INCREASING OVER THE NW PART OF THE SW N ATLC ZONE AS REPORTED BY BUOYS OFF THE FLORIDA COAST WHERE SPEEDS ARE IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE AND SEAS RUNNING 6 TO 8 FT. LATEST GFS GUIDANCE HAS WINDS DECREASING TO 15-20 KT THIS AFTERNOON AND TO 10-15 KT TONIGHT THROUGH TUE AS THE RIDGING BECOMES ESTABLISHED ALONG 31N. WINDS WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST ON TUE AS THE GULF OF MEXICO FRONT APPROACHES THE W ATLC WATERS. LARGE NNE SWELLS WILL LINGER OVER THE SE PART OF THE SW N ATLC THROUGH THE DECEASE TUE. ELY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN THE MODERATE S OF S OF 26N SAT AND SUN...THEN S OF 26N E OF 76W MON DECREASING TUE. WINDS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN ARE IN THE 25-30 KT OVER A SMALL AREA MUCH WHAT LIKE THE GFS AND CANADIAN MODEL GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING DUE TO THE HIGH PRES RIDGING SWD TOWARDS THE CARIBBEAN. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE LATE MON INTO TUE AS THE RIDGE WEAKENS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN... SE WINDS OF 20-25 KT WERE NOTED FROM LAST NIGHT'S QUIKSCAT PASS OVER THE NW PART OF THE CARIBBEAN W OF 85W AND MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE DURING SUN AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUE...AND REMAIN AT 20-25 KT ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN S OF ABOUT 14N. LARGE RESIDUAL ATLC N AND NW SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH NE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES THROUGH SAT THEN SUBSIDE INTO TUE. WEAKENING COLD FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC ZONE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRES RE-BUILDS OVER THE ATLC WITH MODERATE NE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN TROPICAL N ATLC FRI...THEN ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC SAT THROUGH TUE. SEAS OF 8-10 FT CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH MON DECREASING TO 8 FT TUE. SEAS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WILL BE UP TO 9 FT AND INCREASE TO 10 FT TUE IN N AND NE SWELL. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER AGUIRRE