000
AGXX40 KNHC 031735
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
100 PM EST FRI MAR 03 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE E GULF EXTENDS FROM THE NE 
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO NEAR 26N84W. WHILE GENERATING 
A FAIR AMOUNT OF CONVECTION OVER THE SE GULF...THE TROUGH HAS 
MINIMAL IMPACT ON THE WIND FIELD WITH MANY OF THE NEARBY BUOYS 
AND SHIP OBS SHOWING LIGHT AND VARIABLE CONDITIONS. COLD FRONT 
CURRENTLY FROM NW FLORIDA NEAR CEDAR KEY TO CORPUS CHRISTI TX 
WILL EXTEND FROM FROM TAMPA BAY TO S TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND 
BECOME DIFFUSE TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BRIEFLY PRODUCE MODERATE 
NLY WINDS TONIGHT AND SAT. WINDS SUBSIDE SUN AND MON AS HIGH 
PRES MOVES INTO THE AREA. AS THE HIGH SHIFTS E TUE MODERATE TO 
STRONG SLY RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS ALONG THE SE TEXAS COAST.

COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER THE NW PORTION OF THE ATLC FROM 31N73W 
TO 29N81W WILL MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS THE AREA TO 31N65W TO 
NORTHERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT TO 27N65W TO HISPANIOLA SAT AND E OF 
THE AREA SUN AFTERNOON. STRONG SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF 
THE FRONT....WITH NLY WINDS IN THE 15-20 KT RANGE COULD BRIEFLY 
INCREASE TO 20-25 KT LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY SAT THEN DECREASE 
SAT AFTERNOON. THE PATTERN REPEATS ITSELF MON AND TUE AS NEXT 
FRONT MOVES OFF THE SE U.S. COAST LATE MON AND EXTENDS FROM 
BERMUDA TO S FLORIDA BY LATE TUE. THE  LATEST GFS RUN INCREASES 
THE WINDS TO 25 TO 30 KT AHEAD OF THE FRONT KEEPS THEM BELOW 
GALE FORCE.

LATEST QSCAT PASS SHOWS THAT THE WINDS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN HAVE 
DECREASED TO 20 KT. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THIS RANGE THROUGH 
SUN AS THE ATLC RIDGE SHIFT EWD IN RESPONSE TO APPROACHING COLD 
FRONT. WIND/SEAS BEGIN TO INCREASE AGAIN MON AND TUE AS THE ATLC 
RIDGE STRENGTHENS AND LOWER PRES DEVELOPS OVER COLOMBIA.  THE 
COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE NW PART OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC SAT 
NIGHT BUT THE STRONGEST WINDS PASS TO THE N OF THE AREA.  

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE. 

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS