000 AGXX40 KNHC 030629 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 AM EDT MON OCT 3 2005 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... T.D. STAN OVER YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT EXPECTED INTO BAY OF CAMPECHE EARLY MORNING THEN MOVE SLOWLY W TO WSW UNTIL LANDFALL TUE NIGHT IN CENTRAL MEXICO. NWW3 MODEL HOLDS DOWN WIND N OF 25N TO 20 KT AND SEAS TO 8 FT...THIS COULD BE UNDER FORECASTING CONSIDERING STRENGTH OF HIGH PRES BUILDING S FROM EASTERN U.S.. MOST MODELS AGREE ON STRONG UPPER TROUGH MOVING W INTO E GULF DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW WITH CONTINUATION OF STRONG WINDS AND SEAS THROUGH FORECAST AND OUTLOOK PERIOD IN CENTRAL AND E SECTIONS. SW N ATLC... HIGH PRES NE OF AREA CONTINUE WITH WIDESPREAD STRONG EASTERLIES AND SEAS ABOVE 10 FT...MOSTLY N OF 25N. INVERTED N-S TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 30N73W 25N72W 20N69W WITH NUMEROUS TSTMS ALONG AND E OF AXIS. TROUGH MOVE W ACROSS SW N ATLC THROUGH TUE NIGHT... AND ENHANCE STRONG NE WINDS ALREADY IN PLACE BY THE HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER SE U.S.. NUMEROUS TSTMS COMPOUND HIGH WIND AND SEAS. CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THU WITH TEMPORARY RELAXATION OF GRADIENT OVER WATERS W OF 72W FRI. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... EASTERN EDGE OF T.S. STAN CIRCULATION BRINGS WEAK SE FLOW OVER WRN CARIBBEAN. HIGH PRES RIDGE...WEAKENED BY TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE...CANNOT POWER E CARIBBEAN TRADES AS USUAL. SO BASIN REMAINS QUIET DURING FORECAST PERIOD WITH MINOR INCREASES BY END OF OUTLOOK PERIOD. .WARNINGS... SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST STAN NHC ADVISORIES ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUE NIGHT AND WED...GMZ082... GULF OF MEXICO S OF 23N. FORECASTER WALLY BARNES