000 AGXX40 KNHC 161734 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2004 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. COLD FRONT IS WEAKENING IN THE ATLC FROM 31N68W SW TO WESTERN CUBA. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TONIGHT...WITH WINDS 15 KT OR LESS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. LARGE SWELLS WILL LINGER IN THE NE PORTION OF THE ATLC ZONE...THEN SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUN. HIGH PRES MOVES INTO THE ATLC SUN THEN STRENGTHENS SOME ON MON...LEADING TO INCREASING ELY WINDS S OF 25N MON THROUGH WED. THE HIGH WEAKENS AND MOVES E LATE WED AND THU WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN THE ELY WIND THU. N OF 25N WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD. COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN...FROM W CENTRAL CUBA TO THE N COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY THIS EVENING THEN DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT. AN AREA OF 15 TO 20 KT WIND CONTINUES IN THE TYPICAL AREA OF THE SW CARIBBEAN OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. OTHERWISE THE TRADES WILL BE 15 KT OR LESS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND SUN. THE ELY WIND SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS A LARGER PORTION OF THE CARIBBEAN AS THE ATLC FRONT DISSIPATES AND HIGH PRES BUILDS TO THE N SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE. THE HIGH WEAKENS WED AND THU AND THE WINDS DECREASE TO 10 TO 15 KT BY THU. WEAK HIGH PRES IS BUILDING INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. WINDS ARE 10 KT OR LESS ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF EXCEPT W OF 95W WHERE BUOYS ARE INDICATING SLY 15 KT WIND AND SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. THESE LIGHT WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS SHOULD LAST THROUGH SUN AND MON ACROSS THE GULF. BY TUE THE NEXT APPROACHING COLD FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL HELP TO ENHANCE THE RETURN FLOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF TO NEAR 20 KT AND CONTINUING INTO THU. WARNINGS... ATLC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. $$ FORECASTER DGS