000 AGXX40 KNHC 131705 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2130 PM EDT MON SEP 13 2004 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. HURRICANE IVAN CONTINUES TO MOVE WNW THROUGH NW CARIBBEAN WITH 140 KT WIND. THE STORM IS CURRENTLY TO THE SW OF THE TIP OF CUBA. THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY BRINGS THE EYE INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BY TONIGHT. EVEN AS THE EYE MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO EXPECT THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND RADII TO REMAIN IN THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND POSSIBLY EARLY TUE. SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WAVE JUST E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WITH LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 17N59W. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WNW. WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE IF IT DEVELOPS WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. LATEST ADVISORY BRINGS IVAN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT THE MOVES IT N ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND EASTERN GULF TUE THROUGH WED THEN MAKING LANDFALL IN THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THU. WILL HAVE TO WAIT FOR NEXT ADVISORY TO A DECISION ON WHETHER TO KEEP POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN THE NW GULF WAD AS THE CURRENT FORECAST WIND RADII JUST BRUSHES 90W. THE ATLC WILL BE DEPENDENT ON ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW WITH THE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE. THE GFS BRINGS THE LOW ACROSS PUERTO RICO WED AND INTO THE ATLC E OF THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS BY SAT. OTHERWISE WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLC ARE INCREASING AS IVAN APPROACHES THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. BUOYS ARE CURRENTLY INDICATING 20 TO 25 KT WINDS OFF THE FLORIDA COAST S OF 27N. WARNINGS... SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY. ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... HURRICANE WARNING N OF 20N W AND 84W...ZONE AMZ082. TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 19N W OF 82W...ZONE AMZ082. GULF OF MEXICO... HURRICANE WARNING S OF 25N BETWEEN 84W-87W...ZONES GMZ084 AND GMZ086. TS WARNING S OF 26N BETWEEN 83W AND 88W...ZONES GMZ084 AND GMZ086. $$ FORECASTER DGS