000 AGXX40 KNHC 290510 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 AM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE THE WESTERN MOST PORTION OF HURRICANE FRANCES HAS PAST 55W INTO THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE. WILL HAVE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS INTO THE TROPICAL ATLC TODAY AND TONIGHT AND CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH TUE BEFORE THE STORM MOVES INTO THE SW ATLC ZONE. THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY BRINGS THE WINDS WITH FRANCES UP TO 125 KT BY TONIGHT. THE FORECAST AND HEADLINES WILL BE BASED ON THE 09Z NHC ADVISORY. OTHERWISE MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS ELSEWHERE IN THE CARIBBEAN BASIN. THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY BRINGS HURRICANE FRANCES INTO THE SW ATLC ZONE WITH 125 KT WINDS BY TUE AND MOVES THE SYSTEM TO THE WNW JUST E OF THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS BY THU. THE CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE HAS THIS HEADLINED AND COVERED SO WILL LIKELY JUST HAVE TO SLIGHTLY ADJUST IT BASED ON THE 09Z ADVISORY. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH T.S. GASTON SHOULD BE N OF THE AREA TODAY. SO AT THIS TIME MAY NOT HAVE TO HAVE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE ZONE TODAY. WILL KEEP WINDS 20 TO 30 KT AS PER CURRENT FORECAST...THEN SLOWLY BRING THEM DOWN TONIGHT AND MON. LOW PRES NEAR 31N69W MOVING W IS NOT BEING PICKED UP BY THE MODELS. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS THE POSSIBILITY OF DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL SYSTEM. SINCE THE GUIDANCE IS NOT HANDLING THE LOW WILL KEEP THE SAME WORDING AS THE CURRENT FORECAST IS INDICATING. THE GULF OF MEXICO LOOKS NICE AND QUIET THROUGH THU...WITH WIND MOSTLY 10 KT OR LESS. WARNINGS... SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY. ATLANTIC... HURRICANE WARNING TROPICAL N ATLC...AMZ087...FROM 18N-21N E OF 57W. TROPICAL STORM WARNING TROPICAL N ATLC...AMZ087...N OF 17N E OF 57W. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. $$ FORECASTER MOLLEDA