000 AGXX40 KNHC 021758 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 PM EST SUN NOV 02 2003 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. LOW PRES CURRENTLY NEAR 28N72W IS FORECAST TO MOVE WSW AND PRODUCE GALE FORCE WIND WHICH WILL DECREASE TO BELOW GALE FORCE BY LATE TONIGHT. THE GALE IS MARGINAL AND GALE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO BE LOCAL AND SHORT LIVED. AS THE LOW MOVES WEST ACROSS EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA AND INTO THE GULF IT BRINGS NEAR 25 KNOT WIND TO THE NORTH PART OF THE EASTERN GULF MON BEFORE THE WIND DECREASES MON NIGHT. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO RAPIDLY BECOME QUITE WEAK OVER THE CENTRAL GULF DURING TUE AND LOSE ITS IDENTITY WED. THROUGH THU BESIDES THE DEEP LAYER LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE ABOVE MENTIONED SYSTEM AT THE UPPER LEVELS THERE IS ONLY A LARGE RIDGE OVER THE AREA WITH LITTLE IMPACT OF THE WESTERLIES IN OUR FORECAST AREA WHICH MEANS NO FRONTS ONLY THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRODUCING EASTERLY WIND. BY LATE THU A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF AND A CONTINENTAL HIGH WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE GULF AND MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST FRI. THE WIND ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT NEVER SHIFTS TO THE SOUTH SO ESSENTIALLY IT JUST REINFORCES THE EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA. OUTLOOK... SEE ABOVE. WARNINGS... GALE WARNING ATLC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W. FORECASTER LL