000
AGXX40 KNHC 311815
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
230 PM EST FRI OCT 31 2003

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG THE E COAST OF THE U.S. COMBINED WITH A 
LOW PRES OVER THE ATLC S OF BERMUDA WILL CREATE STRONG NORTHEAST 
WINDS OVER THE MUCH OF ATLC WATERS THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND.

ALL OF THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW 
MOVING SW TO THE NORTH-CENTRAL BAHAMAS SAT NIGHT...THEN ACROSS 
THE FLORIDA STRAITS SUN NIGHT AND INTO THE SE GULF EARLY MON.
THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE WNW TO THE CENTRAL GULF TUE AND BE NEAR 
THE SE LOUISIANA COAST WED.  THE LOW COULD DEVELOPED INTO A 
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL SYSTEM.  IN ANY CASE...THE TIGHT 
PRESSURE GRADIANT BETWEEN THE HIGH AND LOW WILL PRODUCE 
STRONG NE WINDS. BY SAT NIGHT...THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY BE 
NEAR GALE FORCE FROM THE N BAHAMAS NORTHEASTWARD. THESE NEAR 
GALE WINDS WILL SPREAD WEAST TO NEAR THE FLORIDA COAST SUN 
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY MON.  WILL LIKELY HEADLINE POSSIBLE 
GALE FOR SAT NIGHT AND SUN FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS. WAVEWATCH 
SEEMS RESONABLE IN BUILDING SEAS OF 13 TO 17 FT OVER THE ATLC 
N OF THE BAHAMAS.

MODERATE NE WINDS WILL ARE EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN GULF 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  AS THE LOW MOVES CLOSER WINDS ARE EXPECTED 
TO BECOME STRONG OVER THE E GULF SUN NIGHT.  THESE WINDS WILL 
SPREAD WEST MON AND TUE.

ON TUE AND WED...HIGH PRES REMAINS N OF THE ATLC WATERS WITH 
MODERATE NE TO E WINDS EXPECTED OVER THE ATLC FROM 20N TO 28N.

OVER THE CARIBBEAN...MODERATE NE WINDS ARE EXPECTED S OF CUBA 
TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT.  ELSEWHERE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT 
OVER THE CARIBBEAN.  

WARNINGS...
GALE WARNING EXPECTED SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N OF 26N BETWEEN 
71W AND 78W.

FORECASTER BROWN