000 AGXX40 KNHC 111513 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 330 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2003 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. ATLC RIDGE ENTERS REGION NEAR 25N55W AND EXTENDS NW ACROSS FLORIDA AT 27N TO N-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. S OF RIDGE AXIS THE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO SUPPORT STRONG ELY WIND OVER S-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND MODERATE RETURN FLOW OVER GULF OF HONDURAS AND W GULF OF MEXICO...BUT RELAXING AT THE MOMENT. N OF RIDGE SW FLOW IS INCREASING OVER NE GULF OF MEXICO AND EXTREME NW PORTION OF ATLC WATERS IN RESPONSE TO SHORT WAVE MOVING SE INTO TEXAS COASTAL PLAINS. RIDGE WILL SHIFT E OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND LIE E TO W ALONG 25N OVER ATLC WATERS MON. S OF RIDGE WINDS DECREASE TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE N PORTION OF GULF OF MEXICO AND ATLC S OF RIDGE. MODERATE ELY FLOW TROPICAL ATLC WATERS AND CARIBBEAN... EXCEPT CONTINUED STRONG ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA. N OF RIDGE OVER ATLC MODERATE SW WINDS SPREAD E OVER WATERS N OF 28N. NWW3 HEIGHTS...WILL ADJUST UP A TAD NW GULF OF MEXICO AND TROPICAL ATLC ATLC AND S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WHERE SHIPS REPORT SEAS SLIGHTLY HIGHER AS EXPECTED. COLD FRONT VERY CONVECTIVE N OF AREA...BUT PARENT LOW DID NE JOG LAST NIGHT PULLING UPPER SUPPORT N. EXPECT ASSOCIATED CONVECTION TO EXTEND S INTO WATERS N OF 28N...AND ONLY ISOLATED TSTMS. COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS FLORIDA TUE TO PSN 31N74W 26N80W AT SUNSET TUE. HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER GULF OF MEXICO BEHIND FRONT WITH HIGH CENTER 29N85W AT 1017 MB. LIGHT SLY RETURN FLOW BEGINS GULF OF MEXICO W OF 92W. OUTLOOK... COLD FRONT STALLS FROM BERMUDA TO NE BAHAMAS WED WITH RIDGE BUILDING W ALONG 26N ACROSS ENTIRE AREA. NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES INTO TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COASTAL PLAINS THU AND STALLS. BY FRI WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY E TO W ALONG 32N AND ATLC RIDGE W ESTABLISHED E TO W ALONG 26N. FORECASTER NELSON