000
FZPN03 KNHC 042146
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE NOV 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED NOV 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU NOV 06.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 20.4N 108.6W 988 MB AT 2100 UTC NOV 
04 MOVING NNE OR 030 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 150 NM SE AND 
NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE INLAND NEAR 24.4N 
106.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.  OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM S QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 
FT. REMAINDER EPAC AND GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 13N TO 25N 
BETWEEN 105W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW VANCE NEAR 26.5N 
106.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. EXCEPT AS 
NOTED BELOW IN GULF OF CALIFORNIA SECTION...REMAINDER OF GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14.5N105W 1009 MB MOVING N AT 15 KT. WITHIN 210 
NM NE QUADRANT SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 09N TO 15N BETWEEN 101W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14.5N106W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 
NM E SE TO S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS MERGE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N132W 1009 MB. WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT S TO 
SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. S OF 21N W OF 130W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 25N W 
OF 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED 
NW...NE AND SE SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N135W 1009 MB. WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 29N120W TO 14N115W TO 10N140W TO 23N140W
TO 29N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED 
NW...NE AND SE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 20N140W TO
14N130W TO 09N140W TO 20N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT
PRIMARILY IN MIXED NW AND NE SWELL. 

.WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 11N86W TO 10N90W...INCLUDING THE GULF
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 10N97W TO 10N91W TO 02N97W TO 10N97W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED N AND S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 09N97W TO 04N93W
03N98W TO 09N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED N AND S
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 08N98W TO 03N96W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED N AND S SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 26N NW TO N WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT NEAR 30N113W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N NW TO N WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 15N95W TO 
13.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 
OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 15N95W TO 11.5N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING NE AND S SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 27N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2115 UTC TUE NOV 04...
.HURRICANE VANCE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 330 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.

.LOW PRES 14.5N105W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
150 NM N QUADRANT OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 06N73W TO 09N85W TO 07N97W TO LOW PRES 
14.5N105W...RESUMES FROM 13N110W TO LOW PRES 10.5N132W TO 
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 04N TO 07N E OF 
86W...WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 07N94W TO 09N100W AND FROM 
10N103W TO 12N112W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 09N119W AND 13N140W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.