000 FZPN03 KNHC 292116 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC THU MAY 29 2025 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU MAY 29. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI MAY 30. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT MAY 31. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 15.1N 107.2W 999 MB AT 2100 UTC MAY 29 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 4 M WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N104W TO 19N107W TO 17N109W TO 14N108W TO 13N105W TO 14N104W TO 18N104W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ALVIN NEAR 17.6N 108.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N107W TO 19N110W TO 17N110W TO 16N108W TO 17N106W TO 19N107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N105W TO 20N111W TO 16N114W TO 13N113W TO 13N108W TO 16N104W TO 19N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL ALVIN NEAR 20.5N 109.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 20 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 4 M WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N107W TO 21N108W TO 21N109W TO 21N110W TO 20N109W TO 20N108W TO 21N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N106W TO 23N108W TO 23N110W TO 20N112W TO 18N109W TO 19N106W TO 22N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 03S117W TO 02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S115W TO 03S117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 07N111W TO 07N118W TO 00N123W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S98W TO 07N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 06N97W TO 15N108W TO 13N116W TO 05N116W TO 03.4S106W TO 03S95W TO 06N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M. CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC THU MAY 29... .T.S. ALVIN...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 12N101W...THEN RESUMES W OF ALVIN NEAR 11N111W TO 08N125W. ITCZ FROM THAT POINT TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 04N TO 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 10N AND W OF 115W. $$ .FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.