000
FZPN03 KNHC 242124
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU OCT 24 2024

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 26.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 14.2N 121.6W 926 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 24 
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT 
GUSTS 170 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 06N TO 21N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 16.1N 125.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE... 
210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 05N TO 22N 
BETWEEN 117W AND 132W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 19.8N 129.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 122W AND 138W. 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W TO 11N100W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N96W TO 14N95W 
TO 12N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N96W TO 
14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 25 TO 35 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 
16N95W TO 14N95W TO 11.5N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N138W TO 27N140W. W OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N134W TO 25N140W. 
N OF 29N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 
FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N86W TO 
09.5N89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC THU OCT 24...

.HURRICANE KRISTY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM 
OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N95W TO 10N110W. THE 
ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 09N125W TO BEYOND TO 09N140W. ASIDE FOR THE 
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE KRISTY, SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION CAN BE FOUND FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 95W AND 115W, 
AND FROM 07N TO 10N W OF 130W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.