000
FZPN03 KNHC 231606
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED OCT 23 2024

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 25.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 14.3N 113.9W 954 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 23 
MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT 
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE 
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 105W AND 112W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 14.1N 119.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 08N TO 20N 
BETWEEN 114W AND 122W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 15.1N 125.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM S SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 08N TO 20N 
BETWEEN 118W AND 130W. 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N96W TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W TO 
11.5N98W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 
12N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 28N W OF 138W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S117W TO 02S119W TO 02S120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S116W TO 03S117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC WED OCT 23...

.HURRICANE KRISTY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 10N103W. IT RESUMES W 
OF HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 08N120W TO 10N126W. THE ITCZ STRETCHES 
FROM 10N128W AND BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 
IS NOTED FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.