000 FZPN03 KNHC 052209 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC MON AUG 5 2024 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 5. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 6. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 7. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 20.6N 127.8W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 05 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT...0 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N127W TO 24N129W TO 22N130W TO 20N129W TO 20N128W TO 21N126W TO 23N127W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN E TO SE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N126W TO 24N130W TO 23N131W TO 20N133W TO 16N130W TO 18N127W TO 22N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA NEAR 20.7N 128.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 20.4N 130.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 45 NM NW QUADRANT. WITHIN 24N129W TO 24N131W TO 21N132W TO 20N131W TO 21N130W TO 22N130W TO 24N129W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N129W TO 24N131W TO 24N132W TO 19N135W TO 18N132W TO 18N130W TO 22N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 19.3N 132.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 13.6N 114.0W 1001 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 05 MOVING S OR 180 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE...0 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N109W TO 13N112W TO 16N115W TO 12N117W TO 10N114W TO 10N112W TO 13N109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N110W TO 16N114W TO 15N116W TO 12N117W TO 09N113W TO 11N108W TO 15N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN W TO NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 14.3N 114.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE...360 NM SE...300 NM SW AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N110W TO 16N110W TO 15N113W TO 16N117W TO 09N116W TO 09N112W TO 14N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT IN NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N107W TO 16N118W TO 13N121W TO 09N117W TO 08N109W TO 11N107W TO 15N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 18.7N 117.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE...420 NM SE...210 NM SW...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N113W TO 23N119W TO 19N121W TO 16N119W TO 12N120W TO 16N113W TO 21N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N108W TO 24N115W TO 19N122W TO 08N120W TO 09N111W TO 14N108W TO 20N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 15.6N 108.1W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 05 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N105W TO 19N108W TO 17N109W TO 14N109W TO 13N107W TO 14N105W TO 18N105W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N104W TO 19N108W TO 15N108W TO 15N110W TO 11N108W TO 15N104W TO 18N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW TO S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 17.9N 113.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE AND 240 NM SE QUADRANTS AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N111W TO 21N115W TO 19N116W TO 16N117W TO 18N113W TO 16N110W TO 21N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N107W TO 22N110W TO 21N113W TO 16N116W TO 15N109W TO 15N107W TO 18N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 18.2N 116.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. .48 HOUR FORECAST...FABIO DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS TO MERGE WITH EMILIA. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL NEAR 16.2N 126.9W 1006 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 05 MOVING NE OR 055 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITHIN 210 NM SE AND 30 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 124W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL NEAR 18.4N 126.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 19N124W TO 20N126W TO 19N127W TO 19N126W TO 18N125W TO 19N124W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL NEAR 19.4N 127.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 2000 UTC MON AUG 5... .TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 200 NM N SEMICIRCLE. .TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 126W-129W. .TROPICAL STORM EMILIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 112W-117W. .TROPICAL STORM FABIO...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N-16N BETWEEN 104W-110W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N86W ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA TO 10N100W THEN RESUMES FROM 13N130W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 130W-138W. NUMEROUS MODERATE AND SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION E OF 80W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.