000 FZPN03 KNHC 041618 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC SUN AUG 4 2024 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 4. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 5. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 6. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 19.9N 124.0W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 04 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 105 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N122W TO 22N123W TO 21N126W TO 20N126W TO 19N124W TO 19N123W TO 21N122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N121W TO 24N125W TO 20N129W TO 18N129W TO 14N127W TO 14N122W TO 21N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN EASTERLY SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 20.7N 127.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N126W TO 23N127W TO 22N129W TO 20N128W TO 21N126W TO 22N126W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 23N125W TO 24N127W TO 23N131W TO 20N133W TO 15N132W TO 18N126W TO 23N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN EASTERLY SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 21.3N 130.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. WITHIN 23N130W TO 24N131W TO 24N132W TO 22N132W TO 21N131W TO 22N129W TO 23N130W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT IN E TO SE SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N129W TO 25N131W TO 24N133W TO 19N135W TO 18N132W TO 19N130W TO 24N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN EASTERLY SWELL. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 13.2N 130.4W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 04 MOVING NNE OR 025 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...0 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N129W TO 14N130W TO 14N131W TO 13N132W TO 12N131W TO 11N130W TO 13N129W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N127W TO 14N131W TO 13N133W TO 10N132W TO 10N130W TO 12N128W TO 14N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 15.3N 127.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N127W TO 16N128W TO 15N128W TO 14N128W TO 15N127W TO 16N127W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N124W TO 17N127W TO 15N132W TO 11N131W TO 10N130W TO 12N126W TO 14N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL NEAR 17.8N 126.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. WITHIN 19N125W TO 19N126W TO 18N126W TO 17N126W TO 18N125W TO 19N125W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E NEAR 15.8N 112.9W 1007 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 04 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 0 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 18N113W TO 18N114W TO 17N115W TO 15N115W TO 14N114W TO 16N112W TO 18N113W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIVE-E NEAR 15.4N 113.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIVE-E NEAR 14.5N 113.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N113W TO 15N114W TO 14.5N114W TO 14N114W TO 14N113W TO 15N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIVE-E NEAR 14.1N 112.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N112W TO 15N112W TO 15N113W TO 14N114W TO 13N113W TO 13N112W TO 14N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...GALE WARNING... .LOW PRES...EP96...NEAR 13N103.5W 1007 MB. WITHIN 12N103W TO 11N104W TO 11N103W TO 12N103W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW TO W SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N102W TO 12N104W TO 12N105W TO 11N105W TO 10N103W TO 11N102W TO 12N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW TO W SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14.5N106.5W 1004 MB. WITHIN 18N104W TO 18N106W TO 15N106W TO 12N108W TO 12N107W TO 15N103W TO 18N104W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N103W TO 18N105W TO 15N106W TO 12N110W TO 11N106W TO 13N103W TO 17N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW TO S SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 16.5N112W 1000 MB. WITHIN 18N110W TO 19N112W TO 17N111W TO 14N111W TO 13N110W TO 15N109W TO 18N110W SE TO S WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT IN S TO SE SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N109W TO 19N114W TO 15N112W TO 11N115W TO 09N112W TO 12N109W TO 20N109W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN S SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N108W TO 21N111W TO 15N112W TO 11N117W TO 08N111W TO 14N106W TO 21N108W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW TO S SWELL. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN AUG 4... .TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. .TROPICAL STORM DANIEL...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 128W-133W. .LOW PRES...EP96...NEAR 13N103.5W...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 08N-17N BETWEEN 101W-107W. .TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 112W-116W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR 10N85W TO LOW PRESSURE, EP96, NEAR 13N103.5W TO LOW PRESSURE, TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E NEAR 16N113W, THEN RESUMES SOUTHWEST OF DANIEL NEAR 12N132W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 05N-10N E OF 87W. NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 08N-17N BETWEEN 101W-107W IN ASSOCIATION WITH INVEST EP96. NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 112W-116W IN ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECITON IS NOTED FROM 08N-11N WEST OF 132W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.