000 FZPN03 KNHC 031621 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC SAT AUG 3 2024 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 3. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 4. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 5. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 19.0N 120.0W 979 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 03 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N118W TO 21N119W TO 21N121W TO 20N122W TO 18N122W TO 17N119W TO 20N118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N117W TO 23N120W TO 22N122W TO 19N124W TO 16N122W TO 15N119W TO 21N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN EASTERLY SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 19.7N 123.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE...AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N122W TO 21N124W TO 22N125W TO 19N125W TO 18N124W TO 19N122W TO 21N122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N121W TO 24N125W TO 22N128W TO 18N129W TO 13N124W TO 14N121W TO 21N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN EASTERLY SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 20.4N 125.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 20.9N 127.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE...AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N126W TO 23N128W TO 22N129W TO 21N129W TO 20N127W TO 21N126W TO 22N126W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N124W TO 24N127W TO 24N132W TO 21N133W TO 16N132W TO 18N125W TO 22N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN EASTERLY SWELL. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 12.6N 130.0W 1007 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 03 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N131W TO 13N130W TO 13N131W TO 12N131W TO 12N130W TO 13N131W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N129W TO 15N134W TO 17N140W TO 13N140W TO 13N135W TO 11N129W TO 15N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 13.3N 130.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N129W TO 13N130W TO 13N131W TO 12N130W TO 12N129W TO 13N129W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N124W TO 14N128W TO 13N130W TO 15N132W TO 13N133W TO 10N129W TO 13N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 15.9N 127.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N126W TO 16N128W TO 15N128W TO 15N127W TO 15N126W TO 16N126W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N125W TO 16N129W TO 13N129W TO 09N135W TO 10N128W TO 12N125W TO 17N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 15N115W TO 13N118W TO 11N115W TO 10N104W TO 11N102W TO 15N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N102W TO 16N105W TO 11N106W TO 12N103W TO 10N102W TO 12N101W TO 14N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N105W TO 14N103W TO 16N106W TO 12N108W TO 11N110W TO 11N106W TO 13N105W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. WITHIN 17N103W TO 19N105W TO 12N115W TO 09N109W TO 10N105W TO 13N103W TO 17N103W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES... S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT AUG 3... .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N73W TO 10.5N90W TO LOW PRESSURE... EP9...NEAR 11.5N101.5W TO 14N109W...THEN RESUMES SW OF CARLOTTA NEAR 15N121.5W TO LOW PRESSURE...EP95...NEAR 12.6N130.0W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 03N TO 13N BETWEEN COLOMBIA...CENTRAL AMERICA AND 93W, AND WITHIN 240 NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 103W AND 108W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 08.5N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 95W AND 128W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.