000
FZPN03 KNHC 030902
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT AUG 3 2024

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 3.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 4.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 5.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.9N 118.9W 979 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 03
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N116W 
TO 21N120W TO 18N120W TO 17N119W TO 17N117W TO 21N116W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N115W TO 
22N117W TO 22N120W TO 19N122W TO 15N118W TO 16N116W TO 20N115W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 19.5N 122.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N121W TO 22N124W TO 20N125W TO 18N123W TO 
18N121W TO 19N120W TO 22N121W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N120W TO 24N125W TO 18N128W TO 
14N123W TO 16N119W TO 21N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 20.7N 126.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N125W TO 23N127W TO 
22N128W TO 19N128W TO 19N126W TO 19N125W TO 22N125W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N124W TO 
24N132W TO 19N131W TO 15N132W TO 11N128W TO 16N124W TO 22N124W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES...EP95...NEAR 12.5N129.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 14N129W TO 
14N131W TO 13N131W TO 12N131W TO 13N129W TO 14N129W WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...EP95...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...
NEAR 12.5N130.5W 1007 MB. WITHIN 14N130W TO 14N131W TO 14N132W 
TO 13N132W TO 13N131W TO 13N130W TO 14N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS MERGED WITH
CARLOTTA.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...EP96...NEAR 12N103W 1009 MB. 
WITHIN 12N102W TO 11N104W TO 10N104W TO 10N103W TO 10N102W TO 
12N102W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...EP96...NEAR 14N104W 1005 MB. 
WITHIN 13N101W TO 14N102W TO 13N103W TO 10N104W TO 10N102W TO 
11N102W TO 13N101W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...EP96...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...
NEAR 14N107W 1003 MB. WITHIN 17N104W TO 17N107W TO 13N108W TO 
11N109W TO 10N105W TO 12N102W TO 17N104W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0750 UTC SAT AUG 3...

.HURRICANE CARLOTTA...NUMEROUS STRONG SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT.

.LOW PRES...EP96...NEAR 11N98W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES...EP95...NEAR 12.5N129.5W...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 240 NM W QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO LOW PRES...EP96...NEAR 11N98W TO 
15N110W THEN RESUMES SW OF CARLOTTA NEAR 15N120W TO LOW PRES...
EP95...NEAR 12.5N129.5W TO 10N136W. ITCZ FROM 10N136W TO 
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 14N 
BETWEEN CENTRAL AMERICA AND 91W...AND WITHIN 360 NM WSW OF 
MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 100W AND 115W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 
11N TO 18N BETWEEN 98W AND 105W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.