000
FZPN03 KNHC 021622
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI AUG 2 2024

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 4.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.6N 115.2W 983 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 02 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 
85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM 
SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 
NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N111W TO 21N112W TO 20N115W TO 18N115W 
TO 17N114W TO 17N112W TO 19N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N112W TO 20N116W TO 17N117W TO 15N114W TO 
15N112W TO 18N111W TO 21N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 19.3N 119.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE.SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 135 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 20N116W TO 21N117W TO 21N119W TO 20N120W TO 17N119W TO 
17N117W TO 20N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA WITHIN 12N115W TO 13N116W TO 11N117W TO 11N116W TO 10N113W TO 
11N113W TO 12N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 19.9N 123.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 
60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 21 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N120W TO 22N123W TO 21N124W TO 18N123W TO 
18N121W TO 18N120W TO 21N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N116W TO 23N122W TO 20N127W TO 12N120W TO 
12N112W TO 16N118W TO 19N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED 
WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND 
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC FRI AUG 2...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...NUMEROUS STRONG AND SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER, AND SCATTERED STRONG 
AND ISOLATED CONVECTION IS OCCURRING OUT TO 300 NM OF THE CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR 10N86W 
TO 11N107. THE TROUGH CONTINUES NEAR 14N117W TO 11N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 08N-
15N BETWEEN 88W-125W AND AGAIN FROM 08N-11N WEST OF 137W.

$$
.FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.